There is a lot to learn from this approach. No system wins always. Stick with the strategy with a tight stop loss and you will win in the long run. Keep up with the good work. It is doing fine.
DANGEROUS TRADER
I had opened a managed account with HAWK-FX (before most of the other warning reviews) and lost 10K in about 3 months.
Mark burdge had a few winning trades to start with but then went long on dollar crosses despite the dollar weakening.The key reason why I lost money was due to Mark not using STOPLOSSESS and no hedging whatsoever despite what is claimed.He also didnt bother to email me when the account was down by 30%.
OPEN an MANAGED ACCOUNT AT YOUR OWN PERIL!!!!.I just wish i had closed my account when the previous reviws came in
I can feel the vendor's rage against the market by averaging down un-reasonable amount of funds. It puts the followers under great risks.
Although joe will likely saves current losing trade, the regular size followers have already blow off their accounts before hanging on to the end.
Like the gentleman who commented on March 22nd, I have also learned a great deal from this trading approach. I've learned that it is better to adhere to a sensible risk/reward approach than suffer massive account-blowing drawdowns for the sake of an attractive winning percentage.
Unlike the gentleman who commented on March 22, my progression as a trader will continue now that I've discarded this system. I'll judge it fair for the lesson learned :-)
A great system to use with a sub 25K account. Easy to follow, mostly identical fills, small drawdowns. Exceptionally good handling of the recent unpleasantness ( despite of being a long-only system). Fair fee.
To the comments of March 21st. The trader screwed up. He knows it. I think he's learnt a valuable lesson. Hey he's only human. But on the other hand, he's the best trader I've ever seen. Look at his stats. Do you think the big players never have big loses in any one trading year? How risky do you think futures trading is anyhow? If you know dick about it, then expect to lose your shirt. "Take responsibility for your loses." I use this system to give me an alternate take or confirmation on my own trades as I continue to learn this game. Fact: every time I don't follow this trader's advise (with two, albeit, big exceptions), he makes money and I don't. I hope and pray that after these two loses he doesn't shut down this system, because my progression as a trader will stop there.
Another disappointing amateur who is blind to the fact that his stupidity (which he passes off as knowledge) is costing subscribers real dollars. This guy is so determined to salvage his larger bad trades that he'll throw good money after bad in order to do so. It would be really scary if this guy were a licensed CTA.
I was reconing this trader as a serious one with strict money management rules. He proved me totally wrong when all the stops for all the legs have been moved away, just for Sugarcoating the system. I said nothing when I lost big time during the China crash, since everyone got caught up unprepared but his latest string of trades, adding on losing positions, and the massive loss it caused are absolutely unacceptable. Its just an invitation for disaster. I was thinking one might have traded this system with min of $80000 until I saw trader's ignorance to money management by smashing away all the stops. That is just wrong. In my book theres no 2, 3, 4 starts. A system either makes money or loses.
Seems like nothing special. Like many systems, a brief run of wins, likely due to luck more than anything. Then they seem to wander or fall out of the sky...
-Ross
Here's another system vendor that talk as if knowledge of the paranormal is the answer to trading, but when audited by reality (C2), proves that he's nothing more than a fool. Let the track record speak for itself - and let us hope potential subscribers know bullshit when they hear it.
"Im in the club business, so I sit here every day for the last 10 years and try to figure out this trading business" - I suggest you STICK TO THE CLUB BUSINESS, because it looks like you haven't figured anything out, except how to get lap-dances from girls you're interviewing for your club.
you can trade it if your have more than 10 000 $. In this case you can trade 1 lot only. There is very often multi leg for the trades. You must support it on the point of vue psycholgical and financial.
The P/L is calculate, according C2 rules, by contract.
If one week you made 5 trades and you lost 200$ on each trade, PL write on site is -200$
If next week you made 1 trade and you win 300$, PL write on site is 300$
but in reality you lost 5*-200 + 1* 300 = -700$
not really the same thing !
I use this system only one month, not really lucky, i start exactly the day where there was a very big loss.
never success to win back all what i lost.
if you have less than 20 000 $, i not recomend to buy this system. I you have more, i suppose it's a good one.
System is having a hard time adopting to the changed market conditions with increased volatility after the Feb 28th correction.
Has to prove its profitability again in the future.
TMG is having a rough time recently, a problem inherent of EOD day signal in a very choppy market condition. However, you do much better if you do NOT trade the signal reversals with market orders, but rather set a close stop once you get a signal reversal and a OTO order (stop followed by market order). This certainly saved me many thousands on a couple of different days that the signal was wrong and the market gapped against the new signal, but I stayed in and on the right side of the move because the stop was not hit.
Vendor is now advising to not take signals and go to cash (of course and pay them for that great advice). You know they are true professionals when they say "if you would have done this or that (basically anything but follow the actual signal) then you could have made money". Just goes to show you can curve fit 20 yrs of data and it only took three people to figure out how to do it. It gets a 'fair' just because it hasn't blown out yet. Give it enough rope and... well you know the rest.
Vendor feels invincible - no stops needed, averaging down on losing trades, and huge blow-outs when they do take place. Do not use this system unless you are prepared to manage the risk yourself. Also, don't expect much from the system vendor in terms of communication... you are just a fly in the ointment to him.
This is not a trend following system. It shorts when overbought and goes long when oversold. That's not what "trend following" means. They are trying to catch the change of trend (and THEN follow it?). But the signals often flip flop day to day, so how can that be trend following? It is still a good system, though lately has faltered. People should carefully examine closed trades so they know what this system is about.
TMG is described as a trend following system in the C2 overview. However, it frequently trades against the major trend. I think the fact that it trades against the trend in over bought/sold conditions should be clarified in the overview.
Some statistics on maximum drawdowms(MAEs) would also be helpful for traders that like to use hard stops.
I tried a one month subscription and MAY subscribe again if they regain their footing...but I'm going to need to see on the C2 charts first. Seems they went south about the very day they raised their subscription price.
Personally, I think they would better serve subscribers by posting the buy/sell signals before the open (to see what the futures are doing and if any calamity, like the overnight recent China meltdown, has occurred and then apply some common sense before posting the final signal).
I hope they work it out. This sysytem would be perfect for someone like me as I don't like to constantly be trading and watching for alerts....if it continues to work. So I'm pulling for them. So tweak what needs tweeked TMG...as every system will eventually fail, change is vital.
The vendor seems to imply in one of his rebuttals that last week (end of Feb 2007) was a 6 sigma event. However, looking at daily NDX returns, the 4% drop on 2/27 was a 2.2 sigma event. The weekly return was a 1.7 sigma event. This makes me wonder how TMG would perform in a true 6 sigma event.