Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

ZMC L2

Futures · Started Mar 2014

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
26.2%
Max Drawdown
72.4%
Trades
143
Win Trades
99.3%
Profit Factor
2.40
Win Months
3.3%

About this strategy

ZMC L2 is a long only futures trading system. The system looks for long opportunities in the TF (Russell 2000 Mini). Frequency of trades will depend on market conditions, but multiple trades per week is normal. Use of a low cost broker (MB Trading) will increase results. Subscriptions limited to 19 to limit slippage. Please contact with any questions. Visit http://www.zmcsignals.com for additional systems, FAQ and discount codes.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201412.232.419.326.6-61.3101.3-11.50.00.00.054.6
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/1/2014
Suggested Minimum Capital$12,500
Age152 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades143
# Profitable142
% Profitable99.3%
Avg trade duration19.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown72.4%
drawdown periodJuly 01, 2014 - Aug 08, 2014
Annual Return (Compounded)26.2%
Avg win$142
Avg loss$8,428

Ratios

W:L ratio2.39
Sharpe Ratio0.16
Sortino Ratio0.23
Calmar Ratio0.50

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life308.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)27.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)26.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)5.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity46.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$8,428
Avg Win$142
# Winners142
Sum Trade PL (losers)$8,428
Sum Trade PL (winners)$20,110
Num Months Winners5
# Losers1
% Winners99.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table151

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1144.70
Avg Position Time (hrs)19.08
Avg Trade Length0.80
Last Trade Ago4371

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.05
Treynor Index0.26

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.04
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.87
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.87
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades8.03
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.28
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats18.45
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats64.07
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades3.56
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.61
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.12

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.83
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.41
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.31
df11
t1.41
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.43
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.35
Sortino ratio2.73
Upside Potential Ratio3.74
Upside part of mean1.14
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.53
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms6
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.83
SD of predictor0.05
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.81
Mean Square Error0.38
DF error10
t(b)0.04
p(b)0.48
t(a)1.12
p(a)0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-8.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta8.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.43
Treynor index (mean / b)5.08
Jensen alpha (a)0.81
Mean0.65
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.03
df11
t1.11
p0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.98
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.04
Sortino ratio1.80
Upside Potential Ratio2.81
Upside part of mean1.02
Downside part of mean-0.37
Upside SD0.47
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms6
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.65
SD of predictor0.05
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance-0.00
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.67
Mean Square Error0.38
DF error10
t(b)-0.05
p(b)0.52
t(a)0.93
p(a)0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-8.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta8.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.28
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.35
Jensen alpha (a)0.67
VaR(95%)0.20
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.25
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
Mean0.84
SD0.68
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.23
df367
t1.27
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.12
Sortino ratio1.85
Upside Potential Ratio6.72
Upside part of mean3.04
Downside part of mean-2.20
Upside SD0.51
Downside SD0.45
N nonnegative terms101
N negative terms267
N of observations368
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.84
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.68
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.33
Mean Square Error0.46
DF error366
t(b)2.47
p(b)0.01
t(a)1.18
p(a)0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.06
Treynor index (mean / b)1.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.77
Mean0.61
SD0.68
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.89
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.89
df367
t0.92
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.78
Sortino ratio1.26
Upside Potential Ratio6.05
Upside part of mean2.92
Downside part of mean-2.31
Upside SD0.48
Downside SD0.48
N nonnegative terms101
N negative terms267
N of observations368
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion0.61
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.68
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.70
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.54
Mean Square Error0.46
DF error366
t(b)2.60
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.83
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.83
Treynor index (mean / b)0.87
Jensen alpha (a)0.54
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-0.01
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-18.55
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms172
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.05
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.01
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-3.15763010599649e+16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-3.14375993861079e+16
df171
t-2.23277998051164e+16
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.47694997228749e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.81057999810724e+16
Sortino ratio-18.55
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms172
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.04
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0
DF error170
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-2.22597009511547e+16
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-8.40263020496558e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.70
Quartile 11
Median1.01
Quartile 31.18
Maximum1.33
Mean of quarter 10.90
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.11
Mean of quarter 41.27
Inter Quartile Range0.18
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.70
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations368
Minimum0.83
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.25
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low48
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high78
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.05
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations172
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.30
Quartile 10.30
Median0.30
Quartile 30.30
Maximum0.30
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.05
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.59
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.30
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.59
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.58
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.35
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.87
Extreme Value Index (regression method)4.19
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.77
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)38
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.93
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.93
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.09
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.68
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.87
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.85
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.45
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.80
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal11.97
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 152 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TFS U4long2Jul 1, 2014Sep 19, 2014($8,444)
TFS U4long1Jul 1, 2014Jul 1, 2014$60
TFS U4long1Jul 1, 2014Jul 1, 2014$39
TFS U4long1Jul 1, 2014Jul 1, 2014$122
TFS U4long1Jun 30, 2014Jun 30, 2014$5
TFS U4long1Jun 30, 2014Jun 30, 2014$75
TFS U4long1Jun 30, 2014Jun 30, 2014$53
TFS U4long3Jun 29, 2014Jun 30, 2014$342
TFS U4long1Jun 27, 2014Jun 27, 2014$56
TFS U4long1Jun 27, 2014Jun 27, 2014$107
TFS U4long2Jun 26, 2014Jun 26, 2014$47
TFS U4long2Jun 26, 2014Jun 26, 2014$365
TFS U4long4Jun 24, 2014Jun 25, 2014$95
TFS U4long2Jun 23, 2014Jun 24, 2014$279
TFS U4long1Jun 23, 2014Jun 23, 2014$126
TFS U4long1Jun 20, 2014Jun 20, 2014$27
TFS U4long1Jun 20, 2014Jun 20, 2014$72
TFS U4long2Jun 19, 2014Jun 19, 2014$171
TFS U4long2Jun 17, 2014Jun 18, 2014$471
TFS U4long1Jun 16, 2014Jun 16, 2014$99
TFS U4long1Jun 16, 2014Jun 16, 2014$87
TFS U4long1Jun 16, 2014Jun 16, 2014$102
TFS U4long1Jun 16, 2014Jun 16, 2014$93
TFS U4long1Jun 16, 2014Jun 16, 2014$73
TFS U4long2Jun 15, 2014Jun 16, 2014$223
TFS U4long2Jun 13, 2014Jun 13, 2014$158
TFS U4long2Jun 13, 2014Jun 13, 2014$474
TFS U4long2Jun 13, 2014Jun 13, 2014$269
TFS M4long1Jun 13, 2014Jun 13, 2014$60
TFS M4long1Jun 12, 2014Jun 12, 2014$52

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.