SPX Edge
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- 0.6%
- Max Drawdown
- 35.3%
- Trades
- 23
- Win Trades
- 43.5%
- Profit Factor
- 1.10
- Win Months
- 4.5%
About this strategy
For details, go to http://www.spxedge.com
System Design
SPX Edge is a 100% mechanical system. The system was designed using simple statistical edges that trades the S&P E-Mini contracts.
The System is primarily an end of day system. SPX Edge trades between 1 to 2 times per month for an average of 19 times per year. Trade Duration ranges from 2 to 7 days. The System trades only during regular market sessions only.
Performance of SPX Edge
Below are some basic backtesting results from August 2003 to August 2013. Starting capital was $20,000. Slippage of 1 tick or $12.50 per trade and a commission of $3.00 per trade was used. Actual slippage should be less since limit orders are used on approximately 25% of the trades.
Profit Factor: 2.76
Percent Profitable: 62.43%
Average Annual Return: 71.3%
Starting Capital: $20,000
Ending Capital: $4,338,852
Visit the SPX Edge Website at http://www.spxedge.com for more details on SPX Edge history, development process and backtesting results.
What to Expect
Entering a Position: Two types of orders are given. Either a limit order before the start of the day, or a market order near the close of regular session will be given.
Exiting a Position: Excluding a stop loss, a market order will be given prior to the last 15 minutes of the regular trading session.
Stop Loss: Stop Loss orders are given shortly after a position has been filled. The Stop loss orders are for day session only. Stop Loss orders will expire at the end of each day. A new stop loss order will be given prior to the start of a new day.
System Design
SPX Edge is a 100% mechanical system. The system was designed using simple statistical edges that trades the S&P E-Mini contracts.
The System is primarily an end of day system. SPX Edge trades between 1 to 2 times per month for an average of 19 times per year. Trade Duration ranges from 2 to 7 days. The System trades only during regular market sessions only.
Performance of SPX Edge
Below are some basic backtesting results from August 2003 to August 2013. Starting capital was $20,000. Slippage of 1 tick or $12.50 per trade and a commission of $3.00 per trade was used. Actual slippage should be less since limit orders are used on approximately 25% of the trades.
Profit Factor: 2.76
Percent Profitable: 62.43%
Average Annual Return: 71.3%
Starting Capital: $20,000
Ending Capital: $4,338,852
Visit the SPX Edge Website at http://www.spxedge.com for more details on SPX Edge history, development process and backtesting results.
What to Expect
Entering a Position: Two types of orders are given. Either a limit order before the start of the day, or a market order near the close of regular session will be given.
Exiting a Position: Excluding a stop loss, a market order will be given prior to the last 15 minutes of the regular trading session.
Stop Loss: Stop Loss orders are given shortly after a position has been filled. The Stop loss orders are for day session only. Stop Loss orders will expire at the end of each day. A new stop loss order will be given prior to the start of a new day.
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 6.4 | 10.9 | 8.5 | 12.6 | 44.2 | ||||||||
| 2014 | -4.4 | -2.8 | 8.8 | -5.0 | -3.8 | 9.5 | -6.7 | -5.5 | -3.1 | -2.3 | 3.0 | -8.8 | -20.6 |
| 2015 | -13.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -13.2 |
| 2016 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2017 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2018 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2020 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 9/11/2013 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $20,000 |
| Age | 158 months |
| What it trades | Futures |
| # Trades | 23 |
| # Profitable | 10 |
| % Profitable | 43.5% |
| Avg trade duration | 4.7 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 35.3% |
| drawdown period | July 16, 2014 - March 07, 2015 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | 0.6% |
| Avg win | $1,840 |
| Avg loss | $1,233 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 1.15 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.23 |
| Sortino Ratio | -0.33 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.12 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.05 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 349.1% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -21.4% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 0.6% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | 0.0% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 0.9% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 55.4% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 0.9% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 1.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 0.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 56.5% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 12.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 2.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 823 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 593 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 0 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $1,233 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $1,840 |
| # Winners | 10 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $16,025 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $18,404 |
| Num Months Winners | 7 |
| # Losers | 13 |
| % Winners | 43.5% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 0 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 157 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 6794.35 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 113.24 |
| Avg Trade Length | 4.70 |
| Last Trade Ago | 4257 |
Regression
| Alpha | -0.01 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.02 |
| Treynor Index | -0.27 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.04 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0.09 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.06 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0.02 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | 9.86 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | -0.51 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 8 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 7.54 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.32 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.09 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | 0.10 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | 0.10 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.25 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.38 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.36 |
| df | 17 |
| t | 0.46 |
| p | 0.43 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.24 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.98 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.25 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.96 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.63 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.67 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.41 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.31 |
| Upside SD | 0.20 |
| Downside SD | 0.15 |
| N nonnegative terms | 8 |
| N negative terms | 10 |
| N of observations | 18 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.15 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.10 |
| SD of predictor | 0.10 |
| SD of criterion | 0.25 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.31 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.74 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.01 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.06 |
| DF error | 16 |
| t(b) | 1.29 |
| p(b) | 0.35 |
| t(a) | -0.06 |
| p(a) | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.48 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.97 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.48 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.45 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.13 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.01 |
| Mean | 0.06 |
| SD | 0.25 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.26 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.25 |
| df | 17 |
| t | 0.32 |
| p | 0.45 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.35 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.86 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.36 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.85 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.41 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.44 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.39 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.32 |
| Upside SD | 0.19 |
| Downside SD | 0.16 |
| N nonnegative terms | 8 |
| N negative terms | 10 |
| N of observations | 18 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.14 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.06 |
| SD of predictor | 0.10 |
| SD of criterion | 0.25 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.31 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.77 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.04 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.06 |
| DF error | 16 |
| t(b) | 1.32 |
| p(b) | 0.34 |
| t(a) | -0.20 |
| p(a) | 0.52 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.46 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 2.00 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.50 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.42 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.08 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.04 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.11 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.13 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.06 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.11 |
| Mean | 0.08 |
| SD | 0.18 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.44 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.44 |
| df | 531 |
| t | 0.55 |
| p | 0.29 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.14 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.02 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.14 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.02 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.65 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 5.61 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.68 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.60 |
| Upside SD | 0.13 |
| Downside SD | 0.12 |
| N nonnegative terms | 78 |
| N negative terms | 454 |
| N of observations | 532 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.13 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.08 |
| SD of predictor | 0.12 |
| SD of criterion | 0.18 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.17 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.27 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.01 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.03 |
| DF error | 530 |
| t(b) | 4.07 |
| p(b) | 0.00 |
| t(a) | 0.31 |
| p(a) | 0.38 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.14 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.40 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.23 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.32 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.29 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.04 |
| Mean | 0.06 |
| SD | 0.18 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.35 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.35 |
| df | 531 |
| t | 0.44 |
| p | 0.33 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.22 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.93 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.22 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.93 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.51 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 5.45 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.67 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.61 |
| Upside SD | 0.13 |
| Downside SD | 0.12 |
| N nonnegative terms | 78 |
| N negative terms | 454 |
| N of observations | 532 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.12 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.06 |
| SD of predictor | 0.12 |
| SD of criterion | 0.18 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.17 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.27 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.03 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.03 |
| DF error | 530 |
| t(b) | 4.06 |
| p(b) | 0.00 |
| t(a) | 0.22 |
| p(a) | 0.41 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.14 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.40 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.25 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.31 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.24 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.03 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.02 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| Mean | -0.41 |
| SD | 0.16 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -2.54 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -2.53 |
| df | 171 |
| t | -1.80 |
| p | 0.59 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -5.32 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.25 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -5.31 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.26 |
| Sortino ratio | -2.87 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.09 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.30 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.71 |
| Upside SD | 0.08 |
| Downside SD | 0.14 |
| N nonnegative terms | 13 |
| N negative terms | 159 |
| N of observations | 172 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.06 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.41 |
| SD of predictor | 0.14 |
| SD of criterion | 0.16 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.22 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.24 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.42 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.02 |
| DF error | 170 |
| t(b) | 2.92 |
| p(b) | 0.39 |
| t(a) | -1.90 |
| p(a) | 0.57 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.08 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.41 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.86 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.02 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.68 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.42 |
| Mean | -0.42 |
| SD | 0.16 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -2.60 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -2.59 |
| df | 171 |
| t | -1.84 |
| p | 0.59 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -5.38 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.19 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -5.37 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.20 |
| Sortino ratio | -2.92 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.03 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.29 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.72 |
| Upside SD | 0.08 |
| Downside SD | 0.14 |
| N nonnegative terms | 13 |
| N negative terms | 159 |
| N of observations | 172 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.05 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.42 |
| SD of predictor | 0.14 |
| SD of criterion | 0.16 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.22 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.25 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.43 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.03 |
| DF error | 170 |
| t(b) | 2.92 |
| p(b) | 0.39 |
| t(a) | -1.93 |
| p(a) | 0.57 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.08 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.41 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.88 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.01 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -1.72 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.43 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.02 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 18 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.89 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.96 |
| Median | 0.99 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.08 |
| Maximum | 1.13 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.92 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.98 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.03 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.10 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.12 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -5.92 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.07 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.07 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.90 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.11 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.12 |
| Number of observations | 532 |
| Minimum | 0.95 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.07 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.99 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.01 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 72 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.14 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.99 |
| Number of outliers high | 78 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.15 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.01 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -0.08 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.13 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Number of observations | 172 |
| Minimum | 0.96 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.04 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.99 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.00 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 20 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.12 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.98 |
| Number of outliers high | 13 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.08 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.01 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -1.03 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -1.02 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.02 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 3 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.06 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.07 |
| Median | 0.08 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.17 |
| Maximum | 0.27 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.06 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.08 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.27 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.11 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 10 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.01 |
| Median | 0.02 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.09 |
| Maximum | 0.30 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.03 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.17 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.08 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.10 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.30 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.54 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.21 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.47 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 6.10 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 1.37 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 2 |
| Minimum | 0.09 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.11 |
| Median | 0.14 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.17 |
| Maximum | 0.20 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.09 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.20 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.05 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 234 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.0% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.08 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.08 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.29 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0.29 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.58 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.08 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.08 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.25 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0.45 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 3.89 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.37 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.34 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -1.72 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -1.72 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -17.67 |
Trading record
Placed 37 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES H5 | long | 1 | Jan 2, 2015 | Jan 6, 2015 | ($2,883) |
| ES Z4 | long | 1 | Dec 9, 2014 | Dec 12, 2014 | ($2,083) |
| ES Z4 | long | 1 | Nov 14, 2014 | Nov 20, 2014 | $880 |
| ES Z4 | long | 1 | Oct 15, 2014 | Oct 17, 2014 | $1,055 |
| ES Z4 | long | 1 | Sep 25, 2014 | Oct 1, 2014 | ($1,371) |
| ES Z4 | long | 1 | Sep 12, 2014 | Sep 12, 2014 | ($771) |
| ES U4 | short | 1 | Aug 8, 2014 | Aug 11, 2014 | ($1,363) |
| ES U4 | long | 2 | Jul 28, 2014 | Jul 30, 2014 | ($1,316) |
| ES U4 | long | 2 | Jul 11, 2014 | Jul 17, 2014 | ($480) |
| ES U4 | long | 2 | Jun 13, 2014 | Jun 19, 2014 | $2,684 |
| ES M4 | short | 1 | May 9, 2014 | May 12, 2014 | ($905) |
| ES M4 | long | 2 | Apr 25, 2014 | Apr 28, 2014 | ($1,116) |
| ES M4 | short | 1 | Apr 15, 2014 | Apr 16, 2014 | ($1,097) |
| ES M4 | long | 1 | Mar 26, 2014 | Apr 2, 2014 | $2,055 |
| ES M4 | long | 1 | Mar 14, 2014 | Mar 20, 2014 | $1,355 |
| ES H4 | long | 1 | Feb 14, 2014 | Feb 20, 2014 | $593 |
| ES H4 | long | 1 | Jan 27, 2014 | Feb 3, 2014 | ($1,089) |
| ES H4 | long | 2 | Jan 10, 2014 | Jan 13, 2014 | ($1,266) |
| ES H4 | long | 2 | Dec 13, 2013 | Dec 19, 2013 | $3,359 |
| ES Z3 | long | 1 | Nov 8, 2013 | Nov 14, 2013 | $2,155 |
| ES Z3 | long | 1 | Oct 11, 2013 | Oct 17, 2013 | $2,180 |
| ES Z3 | long | 1 | Sep 24, 2013 | Oct 2, 2013 | ($421) |
| ES Z3 | long | 1 | Sep 13, 2013 | Sep 19, 2013 | $1,992 |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.