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PT Future 68

Futures · Started Sep 2012

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
4.4%
Max Drawdown
38.2%
Trades
28
Win Trades
75.0%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
2.4%

About this strategy

The current trading strategy is based on 10k buying power and the margin of this system will always be less than 10k. In order to maximize your profit with the same flat monthly fee, it is your advantage to subscribe the strategy based on a multiple of 100% based on your buying power. For example, trade with 300% if your account size is 30k.

This strategy aims for a good return rate with minimum commission by optimizing the trading strategy and profit target. Pair trading strategy is popularly used by hedge funds and professional traders with both buy and short trades of different instruments. Future contracts are traded because of zero sum trading, high leverage ratio, low commission as well as the availability to protect positions for almost 24 hour a day.

Although there is obviously no performance guarantee, our monthly target is around 5% to 10% return. For the flat fee as low as US$68, we hope you won

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201215.49.48.67.747.6
2013-9.8-18.8-11.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-35.4
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/6/2012
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age171 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades28
# Profitable21
% Profitable75.0%
Avg trade duration8.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown38.2%
drawdown periodJan 17, 2013 - March 11, 2013
Annual return (compounded)0.5%
Avg win$346
Avg loss$942

Ratios

W:L ratio1.10
Sharpe Ratio-0.15
Sortino Ratio-0.23
Calmar Ratio0.07

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life431.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-12.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)4.4%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity61.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss77.0%
Chance of 20% account loss33.0%
Chance of 30% account loss7.5%
Chance of 40% account loss1.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$942
Avg Win$346
# Winners21
Sum Trade PL (losers)$6,591
Sum Trade PL (winners)$7,273
Num Months Winners4
# Losers7
% Winners75.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table169

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)11654.85
Avg Position Time (hrs)194.25
Avg Trade Length8.10
Last Trade Ago4928

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.43

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.07
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.14
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.13
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.05
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades32.59
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.27
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats50.88
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats91.46
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.74
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.45
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.03

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)53
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 32 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
AD H3long1Feb 1, 2013Mar 18, 2013$99
YM H3short1Jan 22, 2013Mar 15, 2013($4,702)
CD H3long1Jan 22, 2013Feb 1, 2013($879)
YM H3short1Jan 22, 2013Jan 22, 2013($14)
YM H3short1Jan 14, 2013Jan 17, 2013($143)
ES H3long1Jan 14, 2013Jan 17, 2013$117
ES H3short1Jan 7, 2013Jan 8, 2013$217
AD H3long1Jan 7, 2013Jan 8, 2013$62
CD H3long1Jan 3, 2013Jan 4, 2013$22
AD H3short1Jan 3, 2013Jan 4, 2013$352
AD H3long1Dec 27, 2012Dec 27, 2012($158)
CD H3short1Dec 27, 2012Dec 27, 2012$292
AD H3short1Dec 17, 2012Dec 18, 2012($93)
CD H3long1Dec 17, 2012Dec 18, 2012$112
AD Z2long1Dec 12, 2012Dec 12, 2012$102
YM Z2short1Dec 12, 2012Dec 12, 2012$187
ES Z2long1Dec 4, 2012Dec 7, 2012$430
AD Z2short1Dec 5, 2012Dec 7, 2012$22
ES Z2short1Dec 2, 2012Dec 3, 2012$205
AD Z2long1Dec 2, 2012Dec 3, 2012$112
AD Z2short1Nov 6, 2012Nov 23, 2012$12
EU Z2long1Nov 6, 2012Nov 23, 2012$1,192
CD Z2short1Oct 3, 2012Oct 17, 2012$122
AD Z2long1Oct 3, 2012Oct 16, 2012$1,072
AD Z2long1Sep 13, 2012Sep 28, 2012$352
CD Z2short2Sep 13, 2012Sep 28, 2012($666)
EU U2long2Sep 12, 2012Sep 13, 2012$584
YM Z2long3Sep 6, 2012Sep 12, 2012$1,416

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.