Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Sharktrades

Stocks · Started Aug 2012

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.9%
Max Drawdown
4.0%
Trades
94
Win Trades
95.7%
Profit Factor
4.60
Win Months
3.6%

About this strategy

The Sharktrades system buys and sells ProShares UltraPro S&P500 (UPRO) and ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU), seeking profits from changing conditions in the underlying S&P500 Index.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20121.32.82.8-0.24.111.2
20133.21.7-3.3-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.10.00.00.00.01.2
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/9/2012
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age172 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades94
# Profitable90
% Profitable95.7%
Avg trade duration9.5 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown4.0%
drawdown periodMarch 04, 2013 - March 12, 2013
Annual Return (Compounded)0.9%
Avg win$113
Avg loss$558

Ratios

W:L ratio4.57
Sharpe Ratio-0.55
Sortino Ratio-0.81
Calmar Ratio1.23

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life442.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-433.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$558
Avg Win$113
# Winners90
Sum Trade PL (losers)$2,233
Sum Trade PL (winners)$10,211
Num Months Winners7
# Losers4
% Winners95.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table170

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)570.70
Avg Position Time (hrs)9.51
Avg Trade Length0.40
Last Trade Ago4920

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index1.34

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades6.07
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)14.40
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats37.74
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats97.80
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades3.75
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.59
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.17

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.02
SD0.04
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.39
df41
t0.75
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.44
Sortino ratio1.05
Upside Potential Ratio3.09
Upside part of mean0.04
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms35
N of observations42
Mean of predictor0.47
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.04
Covariance-0.00
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error40
t(b)-0.84
p(b)0.80
t(a)1.05
p(a)0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.78
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
Mean0.01
SD0.04
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.38
df41
t0.72
p0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.43
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.43
Sortino ratio1.00
Upside Potential Ratio3.02
Upside part of mean0.04
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.03
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms35
N of observations42
Mean of predictor0.43
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.04
Covariance-0.00
r-0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error40
t(b)-0.79
p(b)0.78
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.77
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.01
SD0.03
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.45
df930
t0.84
p0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.49
Sortino ratio0.68
Upside Potential Ratio4.18
Upside part of mean0.09
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.02
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms107
N negative terms824
N of observations931
Mean of predictor0.51
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.03
Covariance-0.00
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error929
t(b)-0.74
p(b)0.77
t(a)0.91
p(a)0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
Mean0.01
SD0.03
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.43
df930
t0.81
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.47
Sortino ratio0.65
Upside Potential Ratio4.14
Upside part of mean0.09
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.02
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms107
N negative terms824
N of observations931
Mean of predictor0.45
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.03
Covariance-0.00
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error929
t(b)-0.68
p(b)0.75
t(a)0.87
p(a)0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.78
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.09
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.96
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6821110293200896
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)1.00507229906419e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations42
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations931
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low35
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high109
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.02
Median0.02
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.02
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.03
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-3.28
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-423081120
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)8
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.08
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.08
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.23
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.64
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 84 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
UPRO long1000Mar 26, 2013Mar 26, 2013$35
SPXU long250Mar 22, 2013Mar 22, 2013($236)
UPRO long1000Mar 21, 2013Mar 21, 2013$36
UPRO long1000Mar 19, 2013Mar 19, 2013$18
UPRO long1000Mar 13, 2013Mar 13, 2013$58
SPXU long425Mar 5, 2013Mar 12, 2013($1,777)
SPXU long425Mar 4, 2013Mar 4, 2013$61
UPRO long2200Feb 27, 2013Feb 27, 2013$131
UPRO long2200Feb 26, 2013Feb 26, 2013$74
SPXU long425Feb 25, 2013Feb 25, 2013$78
UPRO long2200Feb 21, 2013Feb 22, 2013$270
SPXU long425Feb 19, 2013Feb 20, 2013$84
SPXU long425Feb 14, 2013Feb 15, 2013$11
SPXU long425Feb 12, 2013Feb 13, 2013$13
SPXU long400Feb 11, 2013Feb 11, 2013$108
UPRO long2200Feb 8, 2013Feb 8, 2013$59
UPRO long2200Feb 7, 2013Feb 7, 2013$105
UPRO long2200Feb 6, 2013Feb 6, 2013$87
UPRO long2200Feb 5, 2013Feb 5, 2013$98
SPXU long400Feb 1, 2013Feb 1, 2013$34
SPXU long400Feb 1, 2013Feb 1, 2013$89
SPXU long400Jan 29, 2013Jan 31, 2013$0
SPXU long400Jan 28, 2013Jan 28, 2013$152
UPRO long2200Jan 25, 2013Jan 25, 2013$160
SPXU long375Jan 23, 2013Jan 23, 2013$101
UPRO long2200Jan 22, 2013Jan 22, 2013$193
UPRO long2200Jan 18, 2013Jan 18, 2013$87
UPRO long2200Jan 16, 2013Jan 16, 2013$186
UPRO long2200Jan 14, 2013Jan 14, 2013$68
UPRO short2000Jan 11, 2013Jan 11, 2013$197

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.