Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

zFutures Diversified

Futures · Started Jul 2010

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.3%
Max Drawdown
39.7%
Trades
536
Win Trades
45.9%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
12.9%

About this strategy

Trades fully-diversified portfolio of major futures sectors including currencies, fixed income, metals, energy, grains, meats, softs. Systematic and quantitative trading system has intermediate to long-term time frame. Diversified in terms of both time frame and trading methodologies. Approach has produced good results in historical testing, blind-tests, bootstrapping, and live trading.

For those seeking a smaller initial account size, a combination of z-Trader Financials and z-Trader Commodities will track the performance of zFutures, with slightly more leverage.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2010-0.66.99.35.94.512.444.3
2011-1.00.4-2.23.4-4.1-8.42.4-0.5-2.9-2.81.6-2.2-15.7
2012-1.7-2.6-7.10.2-6.81.1-0.3-1.4-4.0-5.70.31.5-23.8
2013-1.42.2-0.82.80.40.2-0.30.50.71.00.1-0.94.6
20140.93.04.7-0.60.00.40.00.0-0.00.00.00.08.6
20150.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.10.00.00.00.00.0-0.1
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/19/2010
Suggested Minimum Capital$176,828
Age197 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades536
# Profitable246
% Profitable45.9%
Avg trade duration13.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown39.7%
drawdown periodApril 10, 2011 - Jan 21, 2013
Annual Return (Compounded)0.3%
Avg win$1,558
Avg loss$1,243

Ratios

W:L ratio1.06
Sharpe Ratio-0.24
Sortino Ratio-0.37
Calmar Ratio0.07

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life605.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-607.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity40.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,243
Avg Win$1,558
# Winners246
Sum Trade PL (losers)$360,383
Sum Trade PL (winners)$383,282
Num Months Winners25
# Losers290
% Winners45.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table195

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)19157.23
Avg Position Time (hrs)319.29
Avg Trade Length13.30
Last Trade Ago4532

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.73

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades39.04
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.53
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats38.66
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats19.86
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.30
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.19
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.03

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.03
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.26
df63
t0.61
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.11
Sortino ratio0.43
Upside Potential Ratio1.83
Upside part of mean0.12
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms19
N of observations64
Mean of predictor0.39
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.00
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error62
t(b)0.90
p(b)0.19
t(a)0.13
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Treynor index (mean / b)0.51
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
Mean0.02
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.21
df63
t0.49
p0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.06
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.06
Sortino ratio0.33
Upside Potential Ratio1.73
Upside part of mean0.12
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms19
N of observations64
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.00
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.00
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error62
t(b)0.95
p(b)0.17
t(a)0.02
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.00
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.03
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.25
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.25
df1397
t0.57
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.10
Sortino ratio0.37
Upside Potential Ratio5.19
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.41
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms1040
N negative terms358
N of observations1398
Mean of predictor0.40
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1396
t(b)3.92
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.23
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Treynor index (mean / b)0.68
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
Mean0.02
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.19
df1397
t0.43
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.03
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.03
Sortino ratio0.27
Upside Potential Ratio5.06
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.41
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms1040
N negative terms358
N of observations1398
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1396
t(b)3.88
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.13
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)0.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.33
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.26
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations64
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low14
Percentage of outliers low0.22
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high13
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.97
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.49
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations1398
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low311
Percentage of outliers low0.22
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high318
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.55
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.33
Quartile 10.33
Median0.33
Quartile 30.33
Maximum0.33
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations17
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.04
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.35
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.35
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.78
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.56
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-406950304
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)652
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.02
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.02
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.07
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.38
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.02
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.02
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.07
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.18
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.50
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 450 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
HE J4long1Jan 16, 2013Apr 14, 2014$15,662
YG J3short1Jan 16, 2013Apr 26, 2013$6,293
FV H3long2Nov 14, 2012Mar 28, 2013($360)
DX H3short1Jan 3, 2013Mar 15, 2013($1,988)
W H3short1Jan 16, 2013Mar 14, 2013$3,880
OJ H3long1Jan 16, 2013Mar 8, 2013$1,687
BP H3long1Dec 24, 2012Jan 18, 2013($1,596)
CT H3short1Jan 8, 2013Jan 16, 2013($1,078)
SB H3long1Dec 18, 2012Jan 15, 2013($523)
LE J3long1Jan 9, 2013Jan 15, 2013($828)
HE G3long1Dec 27, 2012Jan 9, 2013($928)
LE G3short1Dec 19, 2012Jan 3, 2013$382
AD H3long1Dec 27, 2012Jan 2, 2013$1,502
QM G3short1Dec 24, 2012Dec 26, 2012($1,221)
CC H3long1Dec 10, 2012Dec 24, 2012($1,008)
QM G3long1Nov 20, 2012Dec 19, 2012$742
QG F3long1Nov 1, 2012Dec 19, 2012($1,208)
LE G3long1Dec 14, 2012Dec 18, 2012$692
YG G3short1Nov 30, 2012Dec 18, 2012$968
DX Z2short1Nov 30, 2012Dec 14, 2012$562
BO F3short1Dec 4, 2012Dec 14, 2012($44)
SB H3short1Nov 30, 2012Dec 10, 2012$429
C H3short1Dec 5, 2012Dec 10, 2012$1,317
HE G3short1Nov 14, 2012Dec 7, 2012$1,262
KC H3short1Nov 14, 2012Nov 19, 2012($1,808)
CC Z2long1Nov 1, 2012Nov 15, 2012$712
HE Z2long1Nov 1, 2012Nov 14, 2012$842
CD Z2long1Oct 10, 2012Oct 19, 2012($1,268)
ES Z2long1Oct 15, 2012Oct 18, 2012$955
W Z2long1Oct 10, 2012Oct 15, 2012($1,108)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.