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Glory Trades

Stocks · Started Jul 2010

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
6.7%
Max Drawdown
Trades
12
Win Trades
75.0%
Profit Factor
4.30
Win Months
1.5%

About this strategy

Sorry: Glory Trades is no longer supported.

Glory Trades by Light-on-Trading offers ETF trades in major market indices and sectors, such as IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XHB (housing), and XLF (financials). We may occasionally trade GDX (gold miners), IYT (transportation) or other ETFs. Trades are both "long" and "short", "with trend" and "countertrend," based on technical analysis, with mechanical entries and stops. This system is suitable for leveraged products such as QLD/QID, options and futures. We expect to have two or three ETF positions open at any one time. There will also be periods when we are in cash - this is not an "always in" system.

The system generates signals at the end of the trading day, for entry the next day, usually at a specific Limit or Stop Limit price. When our system generates a Buy or Sell signal, we will post a Pending Trade Alert on the Collective2 private Glory Trades Forum (usually by 7 a.m. ET, but no later than 9 a.m., for that day's trading), and give members a suggested entry (or exit) order. We will also send all members the Pending Trade Alert using the Collective2 alert system. We will then watch the market during the regular session to make our trades, and members will receive another alert from Collective2 when we actually enter and exit our trades. Therefore, our actual entry/exit may be different from our suggested entry or exit.


Summary: Three Ways to Trade


There are three ways to take our trades. (1) Members may sign up for auto-trading. (2) For the benefit of those who cannot watch the market during the entire trading day, we will post a Pending Trade Alert on the Collective2 private Glory Trades Forum prior to the start of the regular trading session, when our system generates a new Buy or Sell signal. We will give members a suggested "buy" or "sell" point for the next trading session. We will also send all members the Pending Trade Alert using the Collective2 alert system. Members may then enter their orders with their brokers, and let the market take them in (or out) of their trades. (3) For those who can make manual trades during the day, wait until you receive an alert from Collective2 that we have entered or closed a trade, and then act accordingly.

Since we are experienced daytraders, we will generally be watching the market intra-day and may take an entry (or exit) that is different from the suggested one. Those who can follow the market intra-day can therefore benefit from our daytrading experience by following our exact trades through the Collective2 real-time trade alerts.


Sample pending trade alert that we will post on the private forum prior to the open: "Alert: We are buying QQQQ at 42.50 Limit Order. This is a counter-trend trade: The trend is down."
We tell members when we feel the trade is against the trend, or with the trend, because some conservative* traders may wish to take only "with trend" trades.

We have established a public support board for Glory Trades here: http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=18208 You may post general questions about trading or our trading methods on that board. Since that board is public, please do not reveal our current positions or pending trade alerts in your posts there. If you have a question about a current position, or a pending trade alert, please either e-mail us or use the private Collective2 Glory Trades Forum.

* All active trading is risky, and the designation of some trades as more conservative than others is not meant to imply that those trades are not risky.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20107.31.3-0.6-0.00.00.08.1
20110.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.10.00.00.1
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/3/2010
Suggested Minimum Capital$20,000
Age197 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades12
# Profitable9
% Profitable75.0%
Avg trade duration4.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown
drawdown period
Annual return (compounded)0.5%
Avg win$255
Avg loss$180

Ratios

W:L ratio4.27
Sharpe Ratio-0.90
Sortino Ratio-1.92
Calmar Ratio0.59

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.07
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life646.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-56.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)6.7%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$180
Avg Win$255
# Winners9
Sum Trade PL (losers)$539
Sum Trade PL (winners)$2,299
Num Months Winners4
# Losers3
% Winners75.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table195

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)6218.05
Avg Position Time (hrs)103.63
Avg Trade Length4.30
Last Trade Ago5840

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.70

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades0.72
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.12
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats6.35
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats7.59
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.33
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.21
Hold-and-Hope Ratio1.39

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1372
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 14 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TZA long4Sep 13, 2010Sep 20, 2010($348)
TNA long200Aug 27, 2010Sep 1, 2010$254
TNA long200Aug 20, 2010Aug 20, 2010$58
TNA long200Aug 19, 2010Aug 19, 2010($77)
TNA long200Aug 16, 2010Aug 17, 2010$318
QLD long400Aug 12, 2010Aug 12, 2010$145
IWM long100Aug 2, 2010Aug 6, 2010($120)
QLD long400Jul 21, 2010Jul 28, 2010$206
IWM long100Jul 21, 2010Jul 28, 2010$315
XLF long100Jul 6, 2010Jul 13, 2010$115
IWM long100Jul 6, 2010Jul 13, 2010$311
QLD long400Jul 6, 2010Jul 13, 2010$535

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.