Glory Trades
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- 6.7%
- Max Drawdown
- —
- Trades
- 12
- Win Trades
- 75.0%
- Profit Factor
- 4.30
- Win Months
- 1.5%
About this strategy
Glory Trades by Light-on-Trading offers ETF trades in major market indices and sectors, such as IWM, QQQQ, SPY, XHB (housing), and XLF (financials). We may occasionally trade GDX (gold miners), IYT (transportation) or other ETFs. Trades are both "long" and "short", "with trend" and "countertrend," based on technical analysis, with mechanical entries and stops. This system is suitable for leveraged products such as QLD/QID, options and futures. We expect to have two or three ETF positions open at any one time. There will also be periods when we are in cash - this is not an "always in" system.
The system generates signals at the end of the trading day, for entry the next day, usually at a specific Limit or Stop Limit price. When our system generates a Buy or Sell signal, we will post a Pending Trade Alert on the Collective2 private Glory Trades Forum (usually by 7 a.m. ET, but no later than 9 a.m., for that day's trading), and give members a suggested entry (or exit) order. We will also send all members the Pending Trade Alert using the Collective2 alert system. We will then watch the market during the regular session to make our trades, and members will receive another alert from Collective2 when we actually enter and exit our trades. Therefore, our actual entry/exit may be different from our suggested entry or exit.
Summary: Three Ways to Trade
There are three ways to take our trades. (1) Members may sign up for auto-trading. (2) For the benefit of those who cannot watch the market during the entire trading day, we will post a Pending Trade Alert on the Collective2 private Glory Trades Forum prior to the start of the regular trading session, when our system generates a new Buy or Sell signal. We will give members a suggested "buy" or "sell" point for the next trading session. We will also send all members the Pending Trade Alert using the Collective2 alert system. Members may then enter their orders with their brokers, and let the market take them in (or out) of their trades. (3) For those who can make manual trades during the day, wait until you receive an alert from Collective2 that we have entered or closed a trade, and then act accordingly.
Since we are experienced daytraders, we will generally be watching the market intra-day and may take an entry (or exit) that is different from the suggested one. Those who can follow the market intra-day can therefore benefit from our daytrading experience by following our exact trades through the Collective2 real-time trade alerts.
Sample pending trade alert that we will post on the private forum prior to the open: "Alert: We are buying QQQQ at 42.50 Limit Order. This is a counter-trend trade: The trend is down."
We tell members when we feel the trade is against the trend, or with the trend, because some conservative* traders may wish to take only "with trend" trades.
We have established a public support board for Glory Trades here: http://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/board.aspx?board_id=18208 You may post general questions about trading or our trading methods on that board. Since that board is public, please do not reveal our current positions or pending trade alerts in your posts there. If you have a question about a current position, or a pending trade alert, please either e-mail us or use the private Collective2 Glory Trades Forum.
* All active trading is risky, and the designation of some trades as more conservative than others is not meant to imply that those trades are not risky.
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 7.3 | 1.3 | -0.6 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.1 | ||||||
| 2011 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| 2012 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| 2014 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2015 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| 2016 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2017 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2018 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2020 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 7/3/2010 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $20,000 |
| Age | 197 months |
| What it trades | Stocks |
| # Trades | 12 |
| # Profitable | 9 |
| % Profitable | 75.0% |
| Avg trade duration | 4.3 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | — |
| drawdown period | — |
| Annual return (compounded) | 0.5% |
| Avg win | $255 |
| Avg loss | $180 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 4.27 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.90 |
| Sortino Ratio | -1.92 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.59 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.07 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 646.6% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -56.4% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 6.7% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 0.5% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 1.8% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 1.0% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 1.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 0 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $180 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $255 |
| # Winners | 9 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $539 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $2,299 |
| Num Months Winners | 4 |
| # Losers | 3 |
| % Winners | 75.0% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 0 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 195 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 6218.05 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 103.63 |
| Avg Trade Length | 4.30 |
| Last Trade Ago | 5840 |
Regression
| Alpha | 0 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.01 |
| Treynor Index | -0.70 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.01 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0.02 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | 0.72 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | 0.12 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 6.35 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 7.59 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.33 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.21 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | 1.39 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.01 |
|---|---|
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.01 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 1372 |
|---|---|
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.0% |
Trading record
Placed 14 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TZA | long | 4 | Sep 13, 2010 | Sep 20, 2010 | ($348) |
| TNA | long | 200 | Aug 27, 2010 | Sep 1, 2010 | $254 |
| TNA | long | 200 | Aug 20, 2010 | Aug 20, 2010 | $58 |
| TNA | long | 200 | Aug 19, 2010 | Aug 19, 2010 | ($77) |
| TNA | long | 200 | Aug 16, 2010 | Aug 17, 2010 | $318 |
| QLD | long | 400 | Aug 12, 2010 | Aug 12, 2010 | $145 |
| IWM | long | 100 | Aug 2, 2010 | Aug 6, 2010 | ($120) |
| QLD | long | 400 | Jul 21, 2010 | Jul 28, 2010 | $206 |
| IWM | long | 100 | Jul 21, 2010 | Jul 28, 2010 | $315 |
| XLF | long | 100 | Jul 6, 2010 | Jul 13, 2010 | $115 |
| IWM | long | 100 | Jul 6, 2010 | Jul 13, 2010 | $311 |
| QLD | long | 400 | Jul 6, 2010 | Jul 13, 2010 | $535 |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.