Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

INVERTERATE

Stocks · Started Jun 2010

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
8.6%
Max Drawdown
Trades
415
Win Trades
68.2%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
6.6%

About this strategy

It trades high volume etfs and stocks primarily from S&P 100, Nasdaq 100, and Dow 30. Positions are single entry, 10% of trading capital, held at least 1 trading day and no more than 10 trading days. Profit targets vary per position from 1-10 pct and are generated based on historical volatility of the stock or etf and the overall market trend. The strategy tends to outperform during high volatilty periods and remain relatively flat during low volatility.

Trade signals are generated nightly around 7pm and can range in number from 0 to 150+ and average about 50 per night.

Manually trading through IB TWS BasketTrader is the most cost effective way to trade this system. Orders can be received in csv format and uploaded to TWS BasketTrader daily. Please email for step by step instructions.

Inverterate's core objective is to minimize risk and maximize return. Fidelity Wealth Lab is used to maintain the strategies, generate orders and perform backtesting. Backtesting results over a 10 year period boast a historical exposure of <25%, a historical maximum drawdown of less than 8% and historical annualized returns of 49%. Enclosed are backtesting results:

http://jhltrading.onlinewebshop.net/index.html

Past Performance is No Guarantee of Future Results.

**************Note on Margin and Collective2******************
Inverterate does NOT use margin, however, there is one scenario specific to Collective2 where margin might be used briefly. It seems to be a timing issue and it will only occur at the market open of a particularly weak trading day.

Collective2 allows an unlimited number of orders as long as there is at least $1 of buying power available. Collective2 will execute any order that opens below the entry price. After executing these orders it will perform a buying power check. If the buying power is exceeded, Collective2 will reverse orders randomly in a margin call until the buying power is back in line. This scenario might happen once every 2 or 3 months.

The bottom line is the only sure way not to use margin in Collective2 is to trade on a cash account with no margin.

FYI, as for the 6% drawdown in June, I had some issues setting up the system. First I did not realize Collective2 provides 100% margin as a default to all new systems. This caused my system to open up 200% worth of starting capital in positions in one day during the big June down turn. Once I found out I exited immediately and started from scratch. Hence the big draw down.

*******************FEE INCREASE NOTICE*********************
Beginning June 30th 2011, the subscription fee will increase from $5 per quarter if profitable to $5 per month if profitable.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2010-6.23.14.21.17.0-1.05.313.5
20114.71.52.91.51.5-0.4-8.7-4.4-7.0-0.42.91.7-5.1
20120.00.3-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.3
20130.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.0-0.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.0
20160.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/22/2010
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age198 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades415
# Profitable283
% Profitable68.2%
Avg trade duration3.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown
drawdown period
Annual return (compounded)1.0%
Avg win$156
Avg loss$269

Ratios

W:L ratio1.24
Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Sortino Ratio-0.33
Calmar Ratio0.21

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.14
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life589.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-37.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)8.6%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity19.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$269
Avg Win$156
# Winners283
Sum Trade PL (losers)$35,495
Sum Trade PL (winners)$44,074
Num Months Winners19
# Losers132
% Winners68.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct12

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table196

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)4359.48
Avg Position Time (hrs)72.66
Avg Trade Length3
Last Trade Ago5382

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.04
Treynor Index-0.10

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades14.01
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.41
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats50.50
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats40.60
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.73
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.50
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.07

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)71
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 451 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NSC long80Dec 13, 2011Dec 20, 2011($116)
CVS long159Dec 19, 2011Dec 20, 2011$247
MAT long212Dec 19, 2011Dec 20, 2011$64
WMB long189Dec 14, 2011Dec 19, 2011$81
FFIV long55Dec 14, 2011Dec 16, 2011$123
ATVI long493Dec 14, 2011Dec 16, 2011$89
CSCO long323Dec 14, 2011Dec 16, 2011$114
AEP long150Dec 14, 2011Dec 15, 2011$71
STX long384Dec 14, 2011Dec 15, 2011$207
MA long160Dec 14, 2011Dec 15, 2011$98
SO long137Nov 23, 2011Nov 25, 2011$39
CHKP long107Nov 17, 2011Nov 23, 2011($58)
ATVI long468Nov 15, 2011Nov 23, 2011($154)
CELG long188Nov 21, 2011Nov 22, 2011$23
WFM long180Nov 21, 2011Nov 22, 2011$31
AAPL long107Nov 21, 2011Nov 22, 2011$45
DLTR long156Nov 21, 2011Nov 22, 2011$176
BMY long190Nov 17, 2011Nov 18, 2011$64
AAPL long107Nov 10, 2011Nov 15, 2011$65
NKE long252Nov 9, 2011Nov 10, 2011$108
DLTR long148Nov 3, 2011Nov 4, 2011$132
BMY long185Nov 1, 2011Nov 3, 2011$113
APOL long129Nov 2, 2011Nov 3, 2011$210
ERTS long260Nov 1, 2011Nov 2, 2011$271
MON long82Nov 1, 2011Nov 2, 2011$203
TGT long111Nov 1, 2011Nov 2, 2011$127
ALXN long91Nov 1, 2011Nov 2, 2011$261
MSFT long221Oct 26, 2011Oct 27, 2011$221
GMCR long72Oct 17, 2011Oct 20, 2011($733)
V long1120Oct 4, 2011Oct 5, 2011$162

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.