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Qusi FX

Forex · Started Jan 2010

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
6.7%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
196
Win Trades
61.7%
Profit Factor
1.60
Win Months
46.8%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2010-0.921.76.715.838.1-3.7-0.81.82.2-8.08.511.0126.6
20114.2-0.0-2.1-12.017.32.8-11.617.7-1.410.011.73.741.5
2012-4.5-9.37.36.5-5.60.72.02.9-7.0-10.33.1-12.0-25.3
2013-24.953.39.2-10.114.03.9-9.02.6-23.2-24.229.9-8.0-13.1
201426.4-23.31.5-3.013.8-4.521.016.126.7-12.2-19.9-20.13.6
201511.4-6.1-31.147.0-21.616.9-8.326.7-3.3-17.0-31.042.1-11.1
2016-9.05.839.63.4-17.4-1.44.7-3.35.0-8.1-33.6-30.6-49.1
201760.2-23.017.126.929.912.824.112.0-10.7-10.214.24.0255.5
201821.2-3.5-0.0-12.3-15.6-0.5-3.35.8-4.7-14.12.94.0-22.7
2019-1.0-4.3-8.3-1.1-3.011.0-10.9-12.5-4.018.6-5.911.8-13.8
2020-13.62.6-9.0-10.918.116.736.213.4-14.25.57.315.972.0
2021-5.3-2.7-15.919.64.9-14.30.9-4.9-9.63.4-23.77.0-39.0
2022-1.3-0.3-12.4-40.322.5-16.9-43.9-58.8-89.0303.7669.247.8-38.9
202317.5-28.826.425.5-23.419.88.9-5.9-31.46.739.1-0.426.7
2024-10.4-1.62.1-13.813.3-12.615.922.56.0-22.4-25.6-20.8-47.2
20253.19.146.370.9-8.427.2-13.14.50.00.00.00.0197.2
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/25/2010
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age202 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades196
# Profitable121
% Profitable61.7%
Avg trade duration32.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodSept 21, 2022 - Sept 23, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)6.7%
Avg win$592
Avg loss$607

Ratios

W:L ratio1.58
Sharpe Ratio0.02
Sortino Ratio0.03
Calmar Ratio0.18

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.13
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life588.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-405.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)6.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)8.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity123.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.5%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$607
Avg Win$592
# Winners121
Sum Trade PL (losers)$45,489
Sum Trade PL (winners)$71,682
Num Months Winners94
# Losers75
% Winners61.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table201

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)46171.83
Avg Position Time (hrs)769.53
Avg Trade Length32.10
Last Trade Ago384

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.77
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.06
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades7.28
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.47
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats27.34
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats38.54
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.96
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.16
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.14

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.35
SD0.71
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.49
df87
t1.35
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.22
Sortino ratio1.09
Upside Potential Ratio2.86
Upside part of mean0.93
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.63
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms43
N of observations88
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.35
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.71
Covariance0.04
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.63
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.48
DF error86
t(b)2.00
p(b)0.02
t(a)0.61
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.71
Treynor index (mean / b)0.56
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
Mean0.15
SD0.61
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.24
df87
t0.66
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.48
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.97
Sortino ratio0.40
Upside Potential Ratio2.11
Upside part of mean0.79
Downside part of mean-0.64
Upside SD0.48
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms43
N of observations88
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.61
Covariance0.03
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.50
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.37
DF error86
t(b)1.73
p(b)0.04
t(a)0.08
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
VaR(95%)0.24
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.30
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.21
Mean0.53
SD0.89
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.60
df1923
t1.62
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.32
Sortino ratio0.99
Upside Potential Ratio7.29
Upside part of mean3.94
Downside part of mean-3.40
Upside SD0.71
Downside SD0.54
N nonnegative terms1029
N negative terms895
N of observations1924
Mean of predictor0.30
Mean of criterion0.53
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.89
Covariance0.02
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.34
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.43
Mean Square Error0.79
DF error1922
t(b)4.52
p(b)0.45
t(a)1.31
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.08
Treynor index (mean / b)1.58
Jensen alpha (a)0.43
Mean0.15
SD0.88
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.17
df1923
t0.46
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.89
Sortino ratio0.24
Upside Potential Ratio6.01
Upside part of mean3.73
Downside part of mean-3.58
Upside SD0.62
Downside SD0.62
N nonnegative terms1029
N negative terms895
N of observations1924
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.88
Covariance0.03
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.76
DF error1922
t(b)4.61
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.19
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.70
Treynor index (mean / b)0.45
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean1.27
SD1.03
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.22
df130
t0.87
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.01
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.00
Sortino ratio2.09
Upside Potential Ratio9.17
Upside part of mean5.57
Downside part of mean-4.30
Upside SD0.83
Downside SD0.61
N nonnegative terms92
N negative terms39
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.14
Mean of criterion1.27
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion1.03
Covariance0.01
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.20
Mean Square Error1.07
DF error129
t(b)0.28
p(b)0.48
t(a)0.80
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.14
Treynor index (mean / b)19.34
Jensen alpha (a)1.20
Mean0.76
SD1.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.76
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.76
df130
t0.54
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.54
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.53
Sortino ratio1.19
Upside Potential Ratio8.18
Upside part of mean5.26
Downside part of mean-4.49
Upside SD0.76
Downside SD0.64
N nonnegative terms92
N negative terms39
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.06
Mean of criterion0.76
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion1.00
Covariance0.01
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.73
Mean Square Error1.01
DF error129
t(b)0.15
p(b)0.49
t(a)0.51
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.41
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.58
Treynor index (mean / b)22.25
Jensen alpha (a)0.73
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations88
Minimum0.62
Quartile 10.92
Median1.00
Quartile 31.09
Maximum2.16
Mean of quarter 10.84
Mean of quarter 20.97
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.27
Inter Quartile Range0.17
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.62
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.80
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.25
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.27
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.42
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.27
Number of observations1924
Minimum0.44
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.86
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low132
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.90
Number of outliers high150
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations131
Minimum0.84
Quartile 10.98
Median1
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.31
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.89
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.33
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.19
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.08

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.34
Maximum0.65
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.20
Mean of quarter 40.60
Inter Quartile Range0.33
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-25.23
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.54
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.20
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.81
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.81
Number of observations34
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.90
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.38
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high0.59
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.30
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.34
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.62
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.23
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.44
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.76
Number of observations7
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.08
Median0.12
Quartile 30.20
Maximum0.49
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.12
Mean of quarter 30.16
Mean of quarter 40.36
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.49
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-452869024
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)2
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.27
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.16
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.27
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.55
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.27
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.16
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.18
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.42
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.53
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.93
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.34
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.16
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.81

Trading record

Placed 311 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD long160Oct 28, 2014Aug 21, 2025($10,182)
GBP/JPY short160Oct 28, 2014Jan 14, 2015$3
EUR/USD short70Oct 14, 2014Oct 22, 2014$221
AUD/USD long70Oct 14, 2014Oct 21, 2014$124
EUR/USD long80Oct 7, 2014Oct 13, 2014$862
EUR/USD short160Aug 27, 2012Oct 1, 2014$2,336
AUD/USD short50Oct 23, 2012Feb 6, 2014$6,507
GBP/USD short50Oct 29, 2012Nov 15, 2012$1,090
GBP/JPY short60Oct 3, 2012Oct 4, 2012($3)
EUR/JPY short40Oct 3, 2012Oct 4, 2012($2)
AUD/USD short70Jul 23, 2012Oct 2, 2012($432)
GBP/JPY long40Jul 17, 2012Jul 27, 2012($3)
AUD/USD short60Jun 28, 2012Jul 17, 2012($1,370)
EUR/USD short80Jul 4, 2012Jul 17, 2012$3,030
EUR/USD long80Jun 28, 2012Jun 28, 2012$421
EUR/USD short80Jun 19, 2012Jun 27, 2012$806
AUD/USD long50Jun 6, 2012Jun 13, 2012$477
GBP/JPY long40May 24, 2012May 30, 2012($5)
EUR/USD short100May 29, 2012May 29, 2012($205)
EUR/USD long80May 23, 2012May 23, 2012($817)
GBP/JPY long30May 15, 2012May 23, 2012($7)
EUR/USD short60Apr 27, 2012May 7, 2012$1,217
GBP/USD short40Apr 23, 2012May 6, 2012($243)
AUD/USD short60Apr 18, 2012Apr 23, 2012$353
GBP/USD short40Mar 28, 2012Apr 16, 2012$271
EUR/USD short60Jan 25, 2012Apr 16, 2012($392)
GBP/USD short30Jan 30, 2012Mar 22, 2012($433)
AUD/USD short60Jan 25, 2012Mar 22, 2012$905
GBP/USD short40Jan 25, 2012Jan 25, 2012($340)
GBP/USD short30Jan 5, 2012Jan 5, 2012$168

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.