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Daily Cash

Stocks · Started May 2009

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
7.8%
Max Drawdown
26.6%
Trades
95
Win Trades
66.3%
Profit Factor
2.30
Win Months
4.3%

About this strategy


1.)
Adjustments
,
Since 5/3/2010, To The Daily Cash System Trading Model,

Will Minimize Losses

and Maximize Profits

Much More So Than In The Past

.


2.)
What's Traded

: Stocks and Etfs That Have a Minimum Avg. Volume of 800k With a Minimum Price of $13 Per Share.


3.)
Profit Expectations:

Minimum of .50c To 1.00 or More Per Share On Each Trade.


4.)
Most Positions Opened At Once:

1


5.)
Swing Trades Only:

As of 5/3/2010, No Day Trading Will Be Allowed With This System and All Swing Trades Can Last From a Few Minutes During The Next Trading Day Up To 3 Days.


6.)
When Are Trades Entered:

Within The Last Minute of The Trading Day i.e. E.O.D.


7.)
Trade Types:

Market Orders Upon Entry; Limit Orders Set For Exits But Can be Overridden On Occasion Using a Market Order.


8.)
Subscriber Limitations:

8

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2009-1.6-0.25.0-8.40.019.5-3.30.19.4
2010-34.914.436.723.4-10.10.00.00.20.1-0.10.00.814.1
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/18/2009
Suggested Minimum Capital$3,000
Age211 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades95
# Profitable63
% Profitable66.3%
Avg trade duration1.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown26.6%
drawdown periodDec 11, 2009 - Jan 29, 2010
Annual Return (Compounded)7.8%
Avg win$75
Avg loss$65

Ratios

W:L ratio2.29
Sharpe Ratio-0.01
Sortino Ratio-0.02
Calmar Ratio0.49

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life739.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-78.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)7.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity20.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$65
Avg Win$75
# Winners63
Sum Trade PL (losers)$2,074
Sum Trade PL (winners)$4,733
Num Months Winners9
# Losers32
% Winners66.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct25

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table209

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2482.57
Avg Position Time (hrs)41.38
Avg Trade Length1.70
Last Trade Ago5976

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.02

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.12
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades5.80
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-30.63
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats98.99
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats42.59
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.49
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-5.12
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.17

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.14
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.62
df58
t1.38
p0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.51
Sortino ratio1.92
Upside Potential Ratio2.74
Upside part of mean0.20
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms46
N of observations59
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.00
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error57
t(b)0.90
p(b)0.19
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.33
Treynor index (mean / b)0.86
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.12
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.58
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.57
df58
t1.28
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.46
Sortino ratio1.51
Upside Potential Ratio2.31
Upside part of mean0.18
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms46
N of observations59
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance0.00
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error57
t(b)0.99
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.91
p(a)0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)0.72
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.13
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.97
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.97
df1718
t2.16
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.84
Sortino ratio1.69
Upside Potential Ratio4.46
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms168
N negative terms1551
N of observations1719
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1717
t(b)1.03
p(b)0.48
t(a)2.10
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)7.47
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
Mean0.12
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.92
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.92
df1718
t2.05
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.79
Sortino ratio1.54
Upside Potential Ratio4.29
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms168
N negative terms1551
N of observations1719
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1717
t(b)1.15
p(b)0.48
t(a)1.99
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)6.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean-0.01
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-18.55
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms172
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.01
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-3.15763010599649e+16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-3.14375993861079e+16
df171
t-2.23277998051164e+16
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.47694997228749e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.81057999810724e+16
Sortino ratio-18.55
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms172
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0
DF error170
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-2.20455989789327e+16
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.49626995751264e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations59
Minimum0.86
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.35
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low6
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high14
Percentage of outliers high0.24
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.37
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1719
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low128
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high168
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.74
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations172
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.04
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.20
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations17
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.23
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.28
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.95
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)49
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.14
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.68
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.68
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.30
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.14
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.59
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.16
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.84
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 56 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
AAPL long250Jan 26, 2010May 5, 2010$1,565
IOC long50Jan 20, 2010Jan 21, 2010($118)
X short100Jan 20, 2010Jan 20, 2010($19)
CAGC short200Jan 19, 2010Jan 20, 2010$19
RIMM short100Jan 14, 2010Jan 15, 2010$41
CTRP long200Jan 13, 2010Jan 14, 2010$101
IOC short100Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010$0
IOC short100Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010($51)
IOC long100Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010($49)
IOC short100Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010($8)
IOC long100Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010($24)
IOC short100Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010($24)
CTRP long200Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010($31)
CTRP long200Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010$7
CTRP long200Jan 13, 2010Jan 13, 2010($119)
CTRP short200Jan 12, 2010Jan 13, 2010($7)
AMED long100Jan 11, 2010Jan 12, 2010($18)
IOC long50Jan 5, 2010Jan 11, 2010($353)
IOC long100Jan 4, 2010Jan 4, 2010$128
TSL long240Dec 30, 2009Dec 31, 2009$57
MELI short120Dec 21, 2009Dec 22, 2009($111)
MOS long120Dec 17, 2009Dec 18, 2009($60)
FSYS short110Dec 16, 2009Dec 16, 2009($0)
FSYS long110Dec 15, 2009Dec 16, 2009$83
WLL short220Dec 14, 2009Dec 15, 2009$9
SLG short110Dec 11, 2009Dec 14, 2009($81)
CTRP long220Dec 11, 2009Dec 11, 2009($43)
SHLD long110Dec 9, 2009Dec 10, 2009$110
WYNN short110Dec 8, 2009Dec 9, 2009$91
WLT short110Dec 7, 2009Dec 8, 2009$100

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.