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I Mirror Forex SYS

Forex · Started Mar 2008

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
427
Win Trades
87.4%
Profit Factor
0.80
Win Months
2.3%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
200842.2112.2-15.6-28.431.9-12.31.4-51.60.2-149.4-151.2
20090.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-13.7-0.30.00.0
20100.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.30.0-0.00.0-0.0
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/16/2008
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age225 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades427
# Profitable373
% Profitable87.4%
Avg trade duration1.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodDec 16, 2008 - Dec 17, 2008
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$1,284
Avg loss$11,190

Ratios

W:L ratio0.79
Sharpe Ratio-0.90
Sortino Ratio-0.93
Calmar Ratio-0.89

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.26
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life492.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-639.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$11,189
Avg Win$1,284
# Winners373
Sum Trade PL (losers)$604,232
Sum Trade PL (winners)$479,104
Num Months Winners5
# Losers54
% Winners87.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table10

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2144.07
Avg Position Time (hrs)35.73
Avg Trade Length1.50
Last Trade Ago6479

Regression

Alpha0
Beta1.37
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.56
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.04
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.64
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-314.57
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)271.80
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats43.25
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats99.73
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades99.39
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.13
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.00

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.20
SD0.87
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.22
df64
t-0.52
p0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.62
Sortino ratio-0.33
Upside Potential Ratio0.61
Upside part of mean0.37
Downside part of mean-0.56
Upside SD0.63
Downside SD0.60
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms7
N of observations65
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion-0.20
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.87
Covariance0.10
r0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.42
Mean Square Error0.71
DF error63
t(b)2.48
p(b)0.01
t(a)-1.13
p(a)0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.29
Jensen alpha (a)-0.42
Mean-2.25
SD4.60
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.49
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.48
df64
t-1.14
p0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.36
Sortino ratio-0.49
Upside Potential Ratio0.05
Upside part of mean0.25
Downside part of mean-2.50
Upside SD0.42
Downside SD4.59
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms7
N of observations65
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion-2.25
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion4.60
Covariance0.13
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.92
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.49
Mean Square Error21.35
DF error63
t(b)0.59
p(b)0.28
t(a)-1.23
p(a)0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.56
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.44
Jensen alpha (a)-2.49
VaR(95%)0.91
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.94
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean1.42
SD2.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.62
df1434
t1.46
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.46
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.46
Sortino ratio1.29
Upside Potential Ratio3.98
Upside part of mean4.40
Downside part of mean-2.98
Upside SD2.00
Downside SD1.11
N nonnegative terms1339
N negative terms96
N of observations1435
Mean of predictor0.46
Mean of criterion1.42
SD of predictor0.56
SD of criterion2.29
Covariance0.48
r0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.55
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.71
Mean Square Error4.48
DF error1433
t(b)15.49
p(b)0.26
t(a)0.78
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.48
Treynor index (mean / b)0.92
Jensen alpha (a)0.71
Mean-2.22
SD4.76
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.47
df1434
t-1.09
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.37
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.37
Sortino ratio-0.49
Upside Potential Ratio0.71
Upside part of mean3.26
Downside part of mean-5.48
Upside SD1.32
Downside SD4.57
N nonnegative terms1339
N negative terms96
N of observations1435
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion-2.22
SD of predictor0.55
SD of criterion4.76
Covariance0.43
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.41
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.66
Mean Square Error22.07
DF error1433
t(b)6.31
p(b)0.40
t(a)-1.32
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.85
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.28
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.57
Jensen alpha (a)-2.66
VaR(95%)0.39
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.46
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor2.14
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.59
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.96
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.59
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations65
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum2.28
Mean of quarter 10.82
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.12
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.57
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.99
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.37
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.30
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.52
Number of observations1435
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum3.29
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low96
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.83
Number of outliers high97
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.25
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.23
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.30
Quartile 10.47
Median0.65
Quartile 30.82
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.30
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0.35
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations8
Minimum0.11
Quartile 10.33
Median0.40
Quartile 30.60
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.19
Mean of quarter 20.36
Mean of quarter 30.51
Mean of quarter 40.80
Inter Quartile Range0.27
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-380836224
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.89
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.89
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.89
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.95
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.89
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.89
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.11
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.95
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 1 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GBP/CHF long1000Aug 26, 2008Dec 17, 2008($385,737)
GBP/CHF long1000Aug 26, 2008Aug 26, 2008($121)
GBP/CHF short1000Aug 25, 2008Aug 26, 2008$7,301
EUR/JPY short1000Aug 14, 2008Aug 18, 2008$15
USD/JPY long400Aug 8, 2008Aug 13, 2008($28)
USD/CHF long200Aug 8, 2008Aug 13, 2008$2,607
USD/CAD long200Aug 8, 2008Aug 13, 2008$1,083
NZD/USD short400Aug 8, 2008Aug 13, 2008$4,962
GBP/USD short200Aug 8, 2008Aug 13, 2008$6,248
EUR/USD short200Aug 8, 2008Aug 13, 2008$4,438
AUD/USD short200Aug 8, 2008Aug 13, 2008$4,992
EUR/JPY long1000Aug 7, 2008Aug 8, 2008($108)
USD/CHF long100Aug 7, 2008Aug 8, 2008$1,136
GBP/USD long1000Aug 7, 2008Aug 8, 2008($17,020)
AUD/USD long500Aug 7, 2008Aug 8, 2008($7,780)
USD/CHF long500Aug 7, 2008Aug 7, 2008$364
EUR/USD short1600Aug 7, 2008Aug 7, 2008$1,536
EUR/USD long1600Aug 7, 2008Aug 7, 2008($5,632)
GBP/JPY long1000Aug 7, 2008Aug 7, 2008$3
GBP/USD short1000Aug 7, 2008Aug 7, 2008$1,430
EUR/USD short1000Aug 7, 2008Aug 7, 2008$920
GBP/CHF short1000Aug 7, 2008Aug 7, 2008$2,244
GBP/JPY short1000Aug 7, 2008Aug 7, 2008$5
EUR/USD short400Aug 1, 2008Aug 6, 2008$2,741
USD/JPY long100Aug 1, 2008Aug 4, 2008$2
GBP/USD short100Aug 1, 2008Aug 4, 2008$569
GBP/USD short1000Jul 11, 2008Aug 1, 2008$1,550
EUR/JPY short1000Jul 28, 2008Jul 29, 2008$6
GBP/CHF short1400Jul 23, 2008Jul 25, 2008$4,788
USD/CAD short400Jul 11, 2008Jul 11, 2008$300

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.