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Currency Options

Options · Started Oct 2007

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
77
Win Trades
42.9%
Profit Factor
0.80
Win Months
5.3%

About this strategy

FX / CURRENCY OPTIONS CAN BE TRADED IN ANY OPTIONS ACCOUNT.

A REVOLUTIONARY APPROACH TO THE CURRENCY MARKETS:
DataGlobe FX Options applies the incredible advantages of option instruments to the Forex Market. Our trades speculate on the value changes of various currencies over the short term. Selections are considered high probability, and the average gain is currently in excess of 100%.

Subscribers should have $5000.00 in available trading capital to start. Orders can be entered manually with ease, and orders to open are generally good for the week. DataGlobes Corporate Options Trading Account is held with Interactive Brokers.

Trades are based on a wide array of market data. We consider retail trader positioning, economic news and events, and proprietary first-hand information from our contacts within the worlds largest banks. We have been (jokingly) accused of possessing a "crystal ball" - as we occasionally exhibit the uncanny ability to enter a position based on news we hear before it is publicly released - often resulting in handsome profits. The results of this analysis speak for themselves.

Unlike spot Forex, FX options offer the advantage of known and strictly limited risk at all times. This, combined with a trade selection strategy that delivers astounding winners often in excess of 100% culminates in an excellent strategy suitable for any investment portfolio.

DataGlobe Trading employs experts in multiple markets. Please take a look at our other systems. Each of our system is independent and follows strictly different risk and money management rules.

Note that C2 considers a reduction in open profit on a position that has not been closed in its drawdown calculations. The worst "actual" drawdown (calculated as a net liquidation value equaling less than the starting account balance) reported by an actual subscriber to date is approximately 20%. We did not verify this report.

We are happy to respond to any questions you may have regarding this system!

DataGlobes comprehensive trading strategy is taught at: www.dataglobe.biz






Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20079.43.9-5.67.3
200856.013.118.9-17.5-11.2-11.4-6.042.4-4.437.910.2-33.177.1
2009-61.9-62.7-27.0-17.6-41.2-6.6-24.0-5.7-43.7-35.8-34.776.5-98.6
201018.1-20.7-48.7-43.4623.36.5-44.5-12.5-155.4-45.5-40.8-275.5-282.2
2011-15.6-37.7-89.4-65.8-26.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/17/2007
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age230 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades77
# Profitable33
% Profitable42.9%
Avg trade duration44.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodApril 27, 2010 - May 12, 2011
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$14,493
Avg loss$12,935

Ratios

W:L ratio0.81
Sharpe Ratio0.15
Sortino Ratio0.26
Calmar Ratio-0.87

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life395.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-519.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.8%
Percent Trades Stocks0.1%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$12,935
Avg Win$14,493
# Winners33
Sum Trade PL (losers)$569,126
Sum Trade PL (winners)$478,260
Num Months Winners12
# Losers44
% Winners42.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct-16405

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table36

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)64341.82
Avg Position Time (hrs)1072.36
Avg Trade Length44.70
Last Trade Ago5602

Regression

Alpha0
Beta7.46
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.06
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.05
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.08
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-6.53
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.34
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats5.63
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats18.54
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.43
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.04
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.15

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.39
SD0.72
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.53
df66
t-1.26
p0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.31
Sortino ratio-0.65
Upside Potential Ratio0.70
Upside part of mean0.41
Downside part of mean-0.80
Upside SD0.42
Downside SD0.59
N nonnegative terms41
N negative terms26
N of observations67
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion-0.39
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.72
Covariance-0.02
r-0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.29
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.32
Mean Square Error0.52
DF error65
t(b)-0.86
p(b)0.80
t(a)-1.01
p(a)0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)1.32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.32
Mean-2.06
SD3.97
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.52
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.51
df66
t-1.22
p0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.32
Sortino ratio-0.52
Upside Potential Ratio0.09
Upside part of mean0.35
Downside part of mean-2.41
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD3.98
N nonnegative terms41
N negative terms26
N of observations67
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion-2.06
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion3.97
Covariance-0.06
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.85
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.90
Mean Square Error15.99
DF error65
t(b)-0.46
p(b)0.68
t(a)-1.10
p(a)0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-4.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.56
Treynor index (mean / b)2.41
Jensen alpha (a)-1.90
VaR(95%)0.87
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.91
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.28
Mean0.68
SD1.83
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.37
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.37
df1467
t0.89
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.20
Sortino ratio0.64
Upside Potential Ratio5.03
Upside part of mean5.37
Downside part of mean-4.69
Upside SD1.48
Downside SD1.07
N nonnegative terms1054
N negative terms414
N of observations1468
Mean of predictor0.43
Mean of criterion0.68
SD of predictor0.62
SD of criterion1.83
Covariance-0.19
r-0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.50
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.90
Mean Square Error3.25
DF error1466
t(b)-6.54
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.18
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.39
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.90
Mean-2.05
SD3.89
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.53
df1467
t-1.25
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.30
Sortino ratio-0.55
Upside Potential Ratio1.24
Upside part of mean4.61
Downside part of mean-6.66
Upside SD1.13
Downside SD3.72
N nonnegative terms1054
N negative terms414
N of observations1468
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion-2.05
SD of predictor0.61
SD of criterion3.89
Covariance-0.15
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.96
Mean Square Error15.08
DF error1466
t(b)-2.43
p(b)0.53
t(a)-1.19
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.26
Treynor index (mean / b)5.12
Jensen alpha (a)-1.96
VaR(95%)0.33
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.39
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.83
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.75
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.55
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.75
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations67
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.94
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.73
Mean of quarter 10.75
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low10
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.64
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.53
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.59
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.63
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.67
Number of observations1468
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum2.12
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low317
Percentage of outliers low0.22
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high296
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.84
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.25
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.41
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.17
Quartile 10.21
Median0.24
Quartile 30.62
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.17
Mean of quarter 20.24
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0.41
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.17
Median0.25
Quartile 30.38
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.07
Mean of quarter 20.23
Mean of quarter 30.29
Mean of quarter 40.64
Inter Quartile Range0.21
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.72
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.87
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.77
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.87
Expected Shortfall (regression method)2.84
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-369052256
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)380
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.87
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.87
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.87
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.95
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.18
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.87
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.87
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.35
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.22
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
FXA short5000Feb 22, 2009May 12, 2011($30,220)
FCCNM long50Jan 22, 2009Feb 22, 2009($10,785)
VARNF long50Jan 9, 2009Feb 22, 2009($9,535)
FXCCD long100Jan 13, 2009Feb 10, 2009($15,140)
AZONE long30Feb 2, 2009Feb 5, 2009($4,242)
VNJ long30Feb 2, 2009Feb 5, 2009($3,642)
MHKNV long100Jan 20, 2009Jan 28, 2009($19,140)
TLLE long1000Jan 13, 2009Jan 27, 2009($105)
RTHNN long70Jan 15, 2009Jan 26, 2009($15,498)
MONBQ long100Jan 13, 2009Jan 22, 2009($15,140)
AEMBK long70Jan 20, 2009Jan 21, 2009($12,348)
MOSBG long30Jan 16, 2009Jan 21, 2009($4,392)
ABXBZ long75Jan 13, 2009Jan 20, 2009$7,395
MTBNI long50Jan 14, 2009Jan 15, 2009$3,930
BGWMJ long70Jan 12, 2009Jan 14, 2009$16,702
QJPBA long300Jan 5, 2009Jan 13, 2009($19,920)
LJJBU long120Jan 5, 2009Jan 12, 2009($14,568)
WMXAF long500Dec 24, 2008Jan 9, 2009($30,700)
SDSAR long100Jan 2, 2009Jan 9, 2009$13,360
KSSMH long80Jan 5, 2009Jan 8, 2009($12,912)
XRYOS long200Dec 24, 2008Jan 2, 2009($21,280)
SDSAR long75Jan 2, 2009Jan 2, 2009($11,355)
SOJAY long500Dec 24, 2008Dec 31, 2008$26,800
YAAAL long120Dec 11, 2008Dec 22, 2008($14,088)
AEMMH long80Dec 18, 2008Dec 22, 2008($13,712)
DZGAE long60Dec 12, 2008Dec 16, 2008($15,084)
AZOMD long40Dec 10, 2008Dec 16, 2008($8,856)
BNILO long100Dec 4, 2008Dec 12, 2008($15,140)
KSSMG long90Dec 11, 2008Dec 12, 2008$7,974
MOSAG long75Dec 10, 2008Dec 12, 2008($18,105)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.