Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

ATForex

Forex · Started May 2007

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
314
Win Trades
73.2%
Profit Factor
0.50
Win Months
4.7%

About this strategy

ATForex is a mixture of a 2 systems to generate more trades and give you value for money. The systems have been chosen for thier lower drawdowns.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20073.38.58.06.16.010.5-28.6-11.0-4.3
2008-9.31.911.2-4.010.713.813.1-113.1-92.1-292.3-0.80.0-237.5
20090.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.20.00.0
20100.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.20.0-0.00.0-0.0
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.0-777.50.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/21/2007
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age235 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades314
# Profitable230
% Profitable73.2%
Avg trade duration11.7 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodSept 24, 2008 - Sept 30, 2008
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$103
Avg loss$535

Ratios

W:L ratio0.53
Sharpe Ratio-0.87
Sortino Ratio-0.87
Calmar Ratio-0.79

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life400.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-1656.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$535
Avg Win$103
# Winners230
Sum Trade PL (losers)$44,914
Sum Trade PL (winners)$23,703
Num Months Winners11
# Losers84
% Winners73.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table16

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)703.63
Avg Position Time (hrs)11.73
Avg Trade Length0.50
Last Trade Ago6532

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.37
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-3.80
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.06
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats62.53
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats59.21
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.31
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.36
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.65

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.10
SD0.46
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.22
df70
t-0.54
p0.71
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.59
Sortino ratio-0.24
Upside Potential Ratio0.34
Upside part of mean0.15
Downside part of mean-0.25
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.44
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms5
N of observations71
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-0.10
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.46
Covariance0.03
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.42
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.19
Mean Square Error0.21
DF error69
t(b)2.08
p(b)0.02
t(a)-0.99
p(a)0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.25
Jensen alpha (a)-0.19
Mean-1.57
SD3.93
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.40
df70
t-0.97
p0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.41
Sortino ratio-0.40
Upside Potential Ratio0.04
Upside part of mean0.14
Downside part of mean-1.71
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD3.93
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms5
N of observations71
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion-1.57
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion3.93
Covariance0.27
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.58
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.17
Mean Square Error14.71
DF error69
t(b)2.14
p(b)0.02
t(a)-1.35
p(a)0.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta6.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.44
Jensen alpha (a)-2.17
VaR(95%)0.86
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.91
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean7314.29
SD8843.91
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.83
df1565
t2.02
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.63
Sortino ratio5146.28
Upside Potential Ratio5148.50
Upside part of mean7317.46
Downside part of mean-3.17
Upside SD8852.63
Downside SD1.42
N nonnegative terms1441
N negative terms125
N of observations1566
Mean of predictor0.43
Mean of criterion7314.29
SD of predictor0.64
SD of criterion8843.91
Covariance2486.36
r0.44
b (slope, estimate of beta)6042.45
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)4715.57
Mean Square Error63231420
DF error1564
t(b)19.28
p(b)0.28
t(a)1.45
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5427.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta6657.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1669.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha11100.83
Treynor index (mean / b)1.21
Jensen alpha (a)4715.57
Mean-1.56
SD13.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.12
df1565
t-0.29
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.68
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.92
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.68
Sortino ratio-0.16
Upside Potential Ratio1.25
Upside part of mean11.78
Downside part of mean-13.34
Upside SD9.08
Downside SD9.44
N nonnegative terms1441
N negative terms125
N of observations1566
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion-1.56
SD of predictor0.63
SD of criterion13.10
Covariance4.28
r0.52
b (slope, estimate of beta)10.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-4.00
Mean Square Error126.05
DF error1564
t(b)23.81
p(b)0.24
t(a)-0.87
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta11.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-13.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.15
Jensen alpha (a)-4.00
VaR(95%)0.74
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.81
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.83
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.73
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.58
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.71
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations71
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.20
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.70
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.97
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1566
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum14770
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 4112.57
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low125
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high187
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high234.89
Extreme Value Index (moments method)2.08
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.25
Median0.50
Quartile 30.75
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.50
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.17
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.48
Inter Quartile Range0.16
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.61
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.60
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.68
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.34
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.87
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-381590560
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)6
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.79
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.79
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.79
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.87
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.79
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.79
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.64
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.98
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 743 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GBP/USD long100Aug 1, 2008Oct 24, 2008($26,628)
GBP/USD long50Jul 31, 2008Jul 31, 2008$221
EUR/USD long50Jul 22, 2008Jul 25, 2008($317)
GBP/USD long50Jul 24, 2008Jul 25, 2008$264
EUR/GBP long50Jul 23, 2008Jul 24, 2008$136
GBP/USD short100Jul 22, 2008Jul 22, 2008$142
EUR/USD short100Jul 22, 2008Jul 22, 2008$297
GBP/USD short100Jul 14, 2008Jul 21, 2008($112)
EUR/USD short100Jul 11, 2008Jul 16, 2008$51
GBP/USD short50Jul 14, 2008Jul 14, 2008$41
EUR/GBP short50Jul 11, 2008Jul 14, 2008$101
GBP/USD short100Jul 9, 2008Jul 10, 2008$127
EUR/GBP short50Jul 1, 2008Jul 3, 2008($20)
EUR/USD short100Jul 1, 2008Jul 3, 2008$638
GBP/USD short50Jun 20, 2008Jun 20, 2008$131
GBP/USD long60Jun 20, 2008Jun 20, 2008$26
EUR/GBP long50Jun 20, 2008Jun 20, 2008$27
GBP/USD long110Jun 19, 2008Jun 19, 2008$118
EUR/GBP short50Jun 19, 2008Jun 19, 2008$7
GBP/USD long60Jun 18, 2008Jun 18, 2008$102
EUR/USD long50Jun 16, 2008Jun 16, 2008$108
GBP/USD long60Jun 16, 2008Jun 16, 2008$180
GBP/USD long60Jun 13, 2008Jun 13, 2008$163
EUR/GBP short50Jun 13, 2008Jun 13, 2008$25
EUR/USD short50Jun 13, 2008Jun 13, 2008$50
GBP/USD long50Jun 11, 2008Jun 11, 2008($166)
GBP/USD long60Jun 11, 2008Jun 11, 2008$182
EUR/USD short100Jun 6, 2008Jun 10, 2008($283)
GBP/USD short120Jun 6, 2008Jun 10, 2008$325
EUR/USD long50Jun 6, 2008Jun 6, 2008$26

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.