JW Index Trading V.18
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- -6.6%
- Max Drawdown
- 78.8%
- Trades
- 28
- Win Trades
- 57.1%
- Profit Factor
- 0.40
- Win Months
- 2.1%
About this strategy
1. Fees: IT IS FREE. I might change the fee structure in the future but in that case you will receive plenty of notices ahead of the adjustment.
2. Any experienced trader can tell the real treasure in this system is not the trading of options itself but the analysis on the underlying assets: the whole equity market. So if our system starts buying calls you can also look at futures, ETFs, or even stocks that correlates strongly with the general market. But then please determine and control your own risk/reward carefully when use other trading instruments.
3. I cant tell you what your risk tolerance level is. So please, if you dont feel comfortable with our trading size please scale down before thinking our system is too risky for your taste.
Now on to the good stuff. About 99% of all trades are executed at near market close which is 4:15PM ET for index options (personally I execute my trades at 4:05pm to 4:12pm.) Although signals are sent out immediately, C2 only executes these orders in the next morning. So more often than not, the actual trading results are better due to better execution price before it gaps up in the next opening. Only when the signal changed at the absolute last moment would cause our model to open/close our position in the next morning. The signals are free at the moment until further notice.
With the core idea of relative value investing and capital movement strategy, JW Index Trading model was able to analyze the market movements and identify discrepancies and opportunities with satisfactory accuracy. Average holding period typically is less than one week, and with no more than 4 positions running at once. Currently we focus on buying index call options or futures with 5% to 8% of overall trading capital per trade to benefit from such opportunity and to limit the downside risk. With options, due to the fact that only a portion of the capital is committed to any single trade, there will be NO stop-loss being employed. Therefore, one must strickly limit the capital exposure per trade. As a general rule, our model uses 5% capital per trade for OEX options and anywhere from 6% to 8% of the overall capital per trade for SPY or DIA options. Although at times due to the low delta/high price we will be devoting as high as 13% of the capital per trade to meet our internal performance objective, it is NOT recommanded to commit more than 8% of the overall capital to any single trade. An investor who has a lower risk appetite might want to decrease the amount per trade to further limit the losses. Bottom line you should carefully determine your own risk tolerance level while using this system.
Again, almost all of the trades are executed at near market close to reflect end-of-day data. Sometimes late signal can cause the model to trade at the opening of the next morning. Signals are usually send out about 8 to 10 minutes before option market closes. Please also note that index options trades until 4:15PM ET.
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | -0.0 | 12.0 | 3.2 | 6.7 | -7.4 | -5.3 | 4.5 | -11.9 | 11.7 | 11.4 | |||
| 2008 | -76.3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -76.4 |
| 2009 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2010 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2011 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2013 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2014 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2015 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2017 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2018 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2020 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 4/12/2007 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $100,000 |
| Age | 236 months |
| What it trades | Options |
| # Trades | 28 |
| # Profitable | 16 |
| % Profitable | 57.1% |
| Avg trade duration | 3.6 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 78.8% |
| drawdown period | July 13, 2007 - April 06, 2008 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | -6.6% |
| Avg win | $3,369 |
| Avg loss | $10,447 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 0.43 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.44 |
| Sortino Ratio | -0.45 |
| Calmar Ratio | -0.24 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.05 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 427.5% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -502.6% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | -6.6% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | -0.1% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | -6.2% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 372.3% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 1.0% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.2% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.8% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 0.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 100.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 100.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 100.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo) | — |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 0 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $10,447 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $3,369 |
| # Winners | 16 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $125,368 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $53,898 |
| Num Months Winners | 5 |
| # Losers | 12 |
| % Winners | 57.1% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 0 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 234 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 5198.07 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 86.63 |
| Avg Trade Length | 3.60 |
| Last Trade Ago | 6809 |
Regression
| Alpha | -0.02 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.04 |
| Treynor Index | -0.53 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.15 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0.05 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.30 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | -1.89 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | -0.27 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 25.82 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 27.31 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.36 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.14 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | -0.53 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | -0.11 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.31 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.35 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.35 |
| df | 71 |
| t | -0.86 |
| p | 0.80 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.15 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.45 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.15 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.45 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.36 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.15 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.05 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.16 |
| Upside SD | 0.06 |
| Downside SD | 0.30 |
| N nonnegative terms | 68 |
| N negative terms | 4 |
| N of observations | 72 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.20 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.11 |
| SD of predictor | 0.25 |
| SD of criterion | 0.31 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.12 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.14 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.14 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.10 |
| DF error | 70 |
| t(b) | 0.97 |
| p(b) | 0.17 |
| t(a) | -1.06 |
| p(a) | 0.85 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.15 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.43 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.40 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.12 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.78 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.14 |
| Mean | -0.21 |
| SD | 0.54 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.39 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.38 |
| df | 71 |
| t | -0.94 |
| p | 0.83 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.19 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.42 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.18 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.42 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.39 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.08 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.04 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.25 |
| Upside SD | 0.06 |
| Downside SD | 0.54 |
| N nonnegative terms | 68 |
| N negative terms | 4 |
| N of observations | 72 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.16 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.21 |
| SD of predictor | 0.26 |
| SD of criterion | 0.54 |
| Covariance | 0.02 |
| r | 0.11 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.23 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.25 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.29 |
| DF error | 70 |
| t(b) | 0.93 |
| p(b) | 0.18 |
| t(a) | -1.09 |
| p(a) | 0.86 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.26 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.71 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.69 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.20 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.92 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.25 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.24 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.29 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| Mean | 5.53 |
| SD | 4.77 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.16 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.16 |
| df | 1585 |
| t | 2.85 |
| p | 0.45 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.36 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.96 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.36 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.96 |
| Sortino ratio | 4.36 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 6.28 |
| Upside part of mean | 7.97 |
| Downside part of mean | -2.44 |
| Upside SD | 4.61 |
| Downside SD | 1.27 |
| N nonnegative terms | 1530 |
| N negative terms | 56 |
| N of observations | 1586 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.41 |
| Mean of criterion | 5.53 |
| SD of predictor | 0.61 |
| SD of criterion | 4.77 |
| Covariance | 0.79 |
| r | 0.27 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 2.14 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 4.66 |
| Mean Square Error | 21.07 |
| DF error | 1584 |
| t(b) | 11.30 |
| p(b) | 0.36 |
| t(a) | 2.49 |
| p(a) | 0.47 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.77 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 2.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.99 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 8.32 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 2.59 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 4.66 |
| Mean | -0.21 |
| SD | 3.16 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.07 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.07 |
| df | 1585 |
| t | -0.16 |
| p | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.86 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.73 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.86 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.73 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.09 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.76 |
| Upside part of mean | 3.95 |
| Downside part of mean | -4.16 |
| Upside SD | 2.22 |
| Downside SD | 2.25 |
| N nonnegative terms | 1530 |
| N negative terms | 56 |
| N of observations | 1586 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.23 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.21 |
| SD of predictor | 0.61 |
| SD of criterion | 3.16 |
| Covariance | 0.59 |
| r | 0.31 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 1.62 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.57 |
| Mean Square Error | 9.04 |
| DF error | 1584 |
| t(b) | 12.99 |
| p(b) | 0.34 |
| t(a) | -0.47 |
| p(a) | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.38 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.87 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -2.97 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1.82 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.13 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.57 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.28 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.33 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | 0 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0 |
| N nonnegative terms | 131 |
| N negative terms | 0 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.88 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.86 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | 0 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0 |
| N nonnegative terms | 131 |
| N negative terms | 0 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.54 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.80 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.28 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 72 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.27 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.12 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.95 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.02 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 4 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.06 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.77 |
| Number of outliers high | 5 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.07 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.06 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 1.77 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 1586 |
| Minimum | 0.25 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 3.97 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.96 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.12 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 56 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.04 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.74 |
| Number of outliers high | 67 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.04 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.72 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 2.59 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | -0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 1 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 1 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.76 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.76 |
| Median | 0.76 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.76 |
| Maximum | 0.76 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 3 |
| Minimum | 0.11 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.14 |
| Median | 0.17 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.47 |
| Maximum | 0.77 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.11 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.17 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.77 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.33 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 0 |
| Minimum | 0 |
| Quartile 1 | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| Quartile 3 | 0 |
| Maximum | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -396949856 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 268 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.0% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.12 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.19 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.25 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -0.66 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.12 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.19 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.24 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -0.24 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -0.57 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0 |
Trading record
Placed 4 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES H8 | long | 11 | Jan 7, 2008 | Jan 21, 2008 | ($84,901) |
| ES H8 | long | 10 | Dec 19, 2007 | Dec 21, 2007 | $8,920 |
| ES H8 | long | 5 | Dec 17, 2007 | Dec 18, 2007 | $2,898 |
| ES Z7 | long | 5 | Nov 19, 2007 | Nov 23, 2007 | ($1,540) |
| DAWKZ | long | 24 | Nov 8, 2007 | Nov 12, 2007 | ($5,578) |
| DAWKX | long | 24 | Nov 9, 2007 | Nov 12, 2007 | ($1,882) |
| DAWKC | long | 25 | Nov 6, 2007 | Nov 7, 2007 | ($5,610) |
| SFBKQ | long | 24 | Nov 6, 2007 | Nov 6, 2007 | $1,286 |
| SFBKR | long | 25 | Oct 24, 2007 | Oct 29, 2007 | $3,840 |
| DAWKB | long | 25 | Oct 19, 2007 | Oct 24, 2007 | $715 |
| SYHKU | long | 48 | Oct 16, 2007 | Oct 19, 2007 | ($3,067) |
| DAZJH | long | 29 | Oct 11, 2007 | Oct 15, 2007 | ($1,404) |
| DAZJG | long | 29 | Oct 5, 2007 | Oct 9, 2007 | $684 |
| SFBJS | long | 25 | Sep 28, 2007 | Oct 8, 2007 | $3,465 |
| BQQIY | long | 24 | Sep 6, 2007 | Sep 10, 2007 | ($2,194) |
| BQQIY | long | 23 | Sep 4, 2007 | Sep 10, 2007 | ($3,022) |
| BQQIV | long | 41 | Aug 16, 2007 | Aug 22, 2007 | $5,193 |
| BQQIW | long | 24 | Aug 20, 2007 | Aug 22, 2007 | $206 |
| DAWHY | long | 31 | Aug 13, 2007 | Aug 15, 2007 | ($9,498) |
| DAWHA | long | 27 | Aug 7, 2007 | Aug 9, 2007 | $1,582 |
| SFBHP | long | 36 | Jul 27, 2007 | Aug 3, 2007 | ($6,170) |
| DAWHZ | long | 25 | Jul 31, 2007 | Aug 3, 2007 | ($1,035) |
| SFBGS | long | 28 | Jul 12, 2007 | Jul 13, 2007 | $4,721 |
| DAWGA | long | 30 | Jun 28, 2007 | Jul 3, 2007 | $3,258 |
| SFBGQ | long | 36 | Jun 27, 2007 | Jun 29, 2007 | $4,270 |
| JBGFQ | long | 72 | May 14, 2007 | May 18, 2007 | $6,907 |
| JBGFR | long | 24 | May 17, 2007 | May 18, 2007 | $1,958 |
| SFBER | long | 30 | May 11, 2007 | May 17, 2007 | $3,258 |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.