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SNIPER ¤ 4X

Forex · Started Feb 2007

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-0.5%
Max Drawdown
87.3%
Trades
614
Win Trades
56.5%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
44.5%

About this strategy

































The system will hold trades during hours / days .

Trades are issued 24h /24h .

All trades are limit orders with 50pips attached stop order .

Maximum 4 open positions at the same time (some positions are hedge VS USD)

1 entry/trade , no averaging up or down , no scaling in or out .

20 to 60 trades / month .

Expected win % is 65,7 .

Expected profit per trade is 80 pips and + .

Maximum risk per trade is 2.50 % of account equity (maximum 5:1 leverage or 5 mini lots / 10000$/trade ).

Major pair only : EURUSD USDJPY GBPUSD USDCAD AUDUSD


Please examine carefully (time&price ) all the c2 results before subscribing . This system works very well but may be not for you : you must be patient , be prepared for a historical drawdown , do not use a high scaling factor ( too much leverage ) .Please dont think that the system will works as soon as you subscribe and dont think that all trades will be winners . If you are still interested , follow me , we will makes good $ over the long term .













Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
200714.520.86.4-0.711.917.75.4-27.6-60.6-0.8-0.1-42.7
2008-0.710.42.2-11.4-11.5-16.9-28.3178.620.498.623.712.8386.5
20094.8-11.9-3.5-1.3-6.7-8.93.014.211.6-3.49.8-10.2-6.5
201013.515.0-6.9-0.917.32.3-2.68.1-1.13.51.67.570.2
2011-10.5-0.2-0.1-3.33.73.98.60.84.60.5-0.54.010.6
20123.6-10.9-7.25.411.9-3.67.3-4.3-2.1-5.2-4.2-11.9-21.6
2013-11.98.80.8-12.7-8.7-2.3-0.8-6.4-3.53.0-18.6-14.3-51.6
201412.7-5.03.3-5.09.6-3.92.71.9-8.9-0.4-13.6-1.4-10.3
201522.3-8.712.0-6.3-12.3-3.1-6.53.47.9-2.210.22.014.1
20168.321.60.84.0-7.913.620.1-0.57.53.1-15.9-3.754.8
20175.53.90.2-7.1-1.9-3.30.52.8-10.2-0.9-0.4-1.9-13.0
20180.16.1-5.0-0.78.6-2.70.80.1-5.25.01.43.211.2
2019-1.3-1.40.4-0.80.37.82.55.7-2.1-7.50.6-3.9-0.6
2020-1.20.22.78.9-1.80.3-4.6-3.46.5-2.5-0.0-1.82.6
2021-2.3-4.8-4.90.9-7.33.4-0.22.01.8-4.13.91.2-10.5
2022-5.10.5-3.3-6.64.9-6.57.31.2-6.6-9.31.8-0.6-21.3
202310.6-5.6-4.0-13.1-1.1-13.41.2-4.45.4-0.5-11.318.4-20.4
2024-13.9-3.7-0.9-8.5-4.7-1.53.412.24.0-13.217.4-15.4-26.5
202511.84.7-14.1-4.6-3.4-16.37.7-9.30.00.00.00.0-24.2
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/10/2007
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age238 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades614
# Profitable347
% Profitable56.5%
Avg trade duration42.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown87.3%
drawdown periodAug 28, 2007 - July 24, 2008
Annual Return (Compounded)-0.5%
Avg win$2,763
Avg loss$3,445

Ratios

W:L ratio1.04
Sharpe Ratio0.10
Sortino Ratio0.15
Calmar Ratio-0.01

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.18
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life431.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-441.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-0.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity473.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.7%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.3%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$3,445
Avg Win$2,763
# Winners347
Sum Trade PL (losers)$919,687
Sum Trade PL (winners)$958,683
Num Months Winners105
# Losers267
% Winners56.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table236

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)60903.82
Avg Position Time (hrs)1015.06
Avg Trade Length42.30
Last Trade Ago387

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta-0.37
Treynor Index-0.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades118.66
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.06
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats33.13
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats32.54
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.42
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-0.91
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.21
SD0.52
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.40
df86
t1.08
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.13
Sortino ratio0.74
Upside Potential Ratio2.52
Upside part of mean0.71
Downside part of mean-0.50
Upside SD0.44
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms43
N negative terms44
N of observations87
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.52
Covariance-0.04
r-0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.79
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.33
Mean Square Error0.25
DF error85
t(b)-3.18
p(b)1.00
t(a)1.77
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.71
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.33
Mean0.08
SD0.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.16
df86
t0.44
p0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.89
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.89
Sortino ratio0.24
Upside Potential Ratio1.89
Upside part of mean0.63
Downside part of mean-0.55
Upside SD0.37
Downside SD0.34
N nonnegative terms43
N negative terms44
N of observations87
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.50
Covariance-0.03
r-0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.24
DF error85
t(b)-2.75
p(b)1.00
t(a)0.93
p(a)0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.53
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.13
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
VaR(95%)0.21
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.25
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
Mean1.47
SD2.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.70
df1907
t1.88
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.42
Sortino ratio1.78
Upside Potential Ratio6.27
Upside part of mean5.18
Downside part of mean-3.71
Upside SD1.94
Downside SD0.83
N nonnegative terms962
N negative terms946
N of observations1908
Mean of predictor0.38
Mean of criterion1.47
SD of predictor0.61
SD of criterion2.10
Covariance-0.67
r-0.52
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.79
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.14
Mean Square Error3.23
DF error1906
t(b)-26.50
p(b)0.76
t(a)3.21
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.45
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.82
Jensen alpha (a)2.14
Mean-0.01
SD1.66
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.00
df1907
t-0.01
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.72
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.73
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.72
Sortino ratio-0.01
Upside Potential Ratio3.60
Upside part of mean4.25
Downside part of mean-4.25
Upside SD1.16
Downside SD1.18
N nonnegative terms962
N negative terms946
N of observations1908
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.60
SD of criterion1.66
Covariance-0.59
r-0.59
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.32
Mean Square Error1.78
DF error1906
t(b)-32.32
p(b)0.80
t(a)0.64
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.28
Treynor index (mean / b)0.00
Jensen alpha (a)0.32
VaR(95%)0.16
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean-1.21
SD0.64
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.89
df130
t-1.35
p0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.68
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.89
Sortino ratio-2.20
Upside Potential Ratio4.27
Upside part of mean2.35
Downside part of mean-3.57
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.55
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms73
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.76
Mean of criterion-1.21
SD of predictor0.61
SD of criterion0.64
Covariance-0.12
r-0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.65
Mean Square Error0.37
DF error129
t(b)-3.68
p(b)0.69
t(a)-0.74
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.08
Treynor index (mean / b)3.76
Jensen alpha (a)-0.65
Mean-1.43
SD0.67
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.12
df130
t-1.51
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.90
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.67
Sortino ratio-2.39
Upside Potential Ratio3.84
Upside part of mean2.30
Downside part of mean-3.74
Upside SD0.31
Downside SD0.60
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms73
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.56
Mean of criterion-1.43
SD of predictor0.62
SD of criterion0.67
Covariance-0.12
r-0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.32
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.93
Mean Square Error0.42
DF error129
t(b)-3.54
p(b)0.69
t(a)-1.01
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.50
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.90
Treynor index (mean / b)4.44
Jensen alpha (a)-0.93
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations87
Minimum0.53
Quartile 10.94
Median1.00
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.62
Mean of quarter 10.87
Mean of quarter 20.97
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.20
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.53
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.41
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.17
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.19
Number of observations1908
Minimum0.29
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum3.57
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low106
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high119
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.76
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.22
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.61
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.11
Number of observations131
Minimum0.79
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low10
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.90
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.59
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.13
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.07
Median0.21
Quartile 30.43
Maximum0.63
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.16
Mean of quarter 30.26
Mean of quarter 40.62
Inter Quartile Range0.36
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations40
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.05
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.80
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.35
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.56
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.54
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.36
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.88
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.37
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.58
Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.06
Quartile 30.22
Maximum0.60
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.60
Inter Quartile Range0.19
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.60
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-412354688
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)331
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.11
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.14
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.14
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.34
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.02
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.03
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.02
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.76
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.26
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.26
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-8.75

Trading record

Placed 1086 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
AUD/USD long300Feb 3, 2008Aug 21, 2025($78,273)
GBP/USD short300Feb 3, 2008Aug 21, 2025$186,447
USD/JPY short600Feb 3, 2008Aug 21, 2025($1,577)
EUR/USD short300Feb 3, 2008Aug 21, 2025$95,292
USD/JPY long800Oct 16, 2007Oct 18, 2007($30)
USD/CAD long600Oct 16, 2007Oct 17, 2007($2,900)
AUD/USD short600Oct 16, 2007Oct 17, 2007($3,510)
EUR/USD short600Oct 16, 2007Oct 17, 2007($3,354)
GBP/USD short600Oct 16, 2007Oct 16, 2007($3,960)
USD/JPY short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 12, 2007($7)
USD/CAD long600Oct 12, 2007Oct 12, 2007$300
AUD/USD short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 12, 2007($1,470)
GBP/USD short600Oct 12, 2007Oct 12, 2007($3,600)
EUR/USD short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 12, 2007$2,178
GBP/USD short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 12, 2007$3,780
USD/JPY long800Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007($5)
GBP/USD short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007($3,672)
EUR/USD short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007($2,874)
EUR/USD long600Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007($1,074)
AUD/USD long600Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007($900)
GBP/USD long600Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007($2,820)
AUD/USD short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007$24
EUR/USD short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007$606
GBP/USD short600Oct 11, 2007Oct 11, 2007$1,380
USD/CAD short600Oct 10, 2007Oct 11, 2007$2,078
EUR/USD long600Oct 10, 2007Oct 11, 2007$3,132
GBP/USD long600Oct 10, 2007Oct 11, 2007($3,840)
AUD/USD long600Oct 10, 2007Oct 10, 2007($2,940)
AUD/USD short700Oct 9, 2007Oct 9, 2007($4,186)
GBP/USD short700Oct 9, 2007Oct 9, 2007($4,410)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.