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Penny Stock Movers

Stocks · Started Nov 2005

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.1%
Max Drawdown
80.1%
Trades
44
Win Trades
70.5%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
3.2%

About this strategy

There are 1- 2 GRAND SLAM stock picks per month. When we invest over 90% of the portfolio you will know when they are traded. Also, with Penny Stocks Guaranteed you will receive the time and the day of the stocks explosive move. The average return for the GRAND SLAM stocks is approx 30-60%.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2005-15.019.31.4
20063.459.5101.44.34.023.0-3.1-1.7-0.017.1-74.2-18.53.9
2007-3.4-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-4.0
20080.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20090.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.0-0.0
20100.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/9/2005
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age254 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades44
# Profitable31
% Profitable70.5%
Avg trade duration13.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown80.1%
drawdown periodOct 02, 2006 - May 19, 2007
Annual Return (Compounded)0.1%
Avg win$20,447
Avg loss$34,320

Ratios

W:L ratio1.42
Sharpe Ratio-0.01
Sortino Ratio-0.01
Calmar Ratio-0.00

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life524.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-526.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)5.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity402.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$34,320
Avg Win$20,447
# Winners31
Sum Trade PL (losers)$446,160
Sum Trade PL (winners)$633,850
Num Months Winners9
# Losers13
% Winners70.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table251

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)19137.85
Avg Position Time (hrs)318.96
Avg Trade Length13.30
Last Trade Ago7179

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.07
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.18
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.17
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.37
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.19
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats42.38
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats37.65
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.35
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.25
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.23

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.17
SD0.58
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.29
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.29
df90
t0.80
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.00
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.42
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.00
Sortino ratio0.52
Upside Potential Ratio1.04
Upside part of mean0.34
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.48
Downside SD0.33
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms8
N of observations91
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.58
Covariance0.01
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.34
DF error89
t(b)0.52
p(b)0.30
t(a)0.66
p(a)0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)1.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean-0.00
SD0.63
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.00
df90
t-0.01
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.71
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.71
Sortino ratio-0.00
Upside Potential Ratio0.51
Upside part of mean0.27
Downside part of mean-0.27
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.53
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms8
N of observations91
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion-0.00
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.63
Covariance0.02
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.39
DF error89
t(b)1.06
p(b)0.15
t(a)-0.22
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.00
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
VaR(95%)0.26
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.31
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.63
SD1.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.50
df2001
t1.37
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.20
Sortino ratio1.10
Upside Potential Ratio2.47
Upside part of mean1.40
Downside part of mean-0.77
Upside SD1.13
Downside SD0.57
N nonnegative terms1916
N negative terms86
N of observations2002
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.63
SD of predictor0.52
SD of criterion1.26
Covariance-0.01
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.63
Mean Square Error1.60
DF error2000
t(b)-0.39
p(b)0.50
t(a)1.38
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.53
Treynor index (mean / b)-29.73
Jensen alpha (a)0.63
Mean-0.00
SD1.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.00
df2001
t-0.00
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.71
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.71
Sortino ratio-0.00
Upside Potential Ratio1.25
Upside part of mean1.04
Downside part of mean-1.04
Upside SD0.74
Downside SD0.83
N nonnegative terms1916
N negative terms86
N of observations2002
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion-0.00
SD of predictor0.52
SD of criterion1.11
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.00
Mean Square Error1.24
DF error2000
t(b)0.05
p(b)0.50
t(a)-0.00
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.79
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.64
Jensen alpha (a)-0.00
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.84
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.71
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations91
Minimum0.31
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum2.21
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.11
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low8
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.84
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.21
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.80
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.76
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2002
Minimum0.34
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum2.77
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low86
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high104
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.98
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.58
Quartile 10.61
Median0.63
Quartile 30.66
Maximum0.69
Mean of quarter 10.58
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.69
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.15
Quartile 30.52
Maximum0.72
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.41
Mean of quarter 40.62
Inter Quartile Range0.51
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.65
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.73
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.87
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.77
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-371117632
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)229
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.00
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.01
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
CHTR long10000Jan 16, 2007Jan 22, 2007($3,305)
DEPO long70000Dec 4, 2006Dec 4, 2006($22,405)
DYAX long75000Nov 22, 2006Nov 22, 2006$1,495
ORCH long70000Nov 15, 2006Nov 15, 2006($18,905)
IVOW long500000Oct 31, 2006Nov 15, 2006($345,005)
RGEN long140000Sep 29, 2006Oct 2, 2006$83,995
DRRA long750000Aug 28, 2006Aug 28, 2006$7,570
FORG long500000Jul 28, 2006Jul 28, 2006($19,755)
VLTS long900000Jul 27, 2006Jul 28, 2006($8,105)
MBAY long500000Jul 6, 2006Jul 6, 2006$69,995
DIMEZ long2000000Jul 5, 2006Jul 6, 2006$21,995
SDIX long100000Jun 15, 2006Jun 16, 2006$45,995
BWEB long600000Jun 8, 2006Jun 12, 2006$53,995
ETYN long100000May 26, 2006May 31, 2006($5,005)
BFLY long200000May 17, 2006May 17, 2006$9,995
MLIN long100000May 12, 2006May 16, 2006$31,995
FATS long50000May 10, 2006May 15, 2006$995
MLIN long100000May 12, 2006May 12, 2006($15,005)
XETA long20000Apr 26, 2006Apr 26, 2006$4,995
WOLV long1150000Apr 10, 2006Apr 13, 2006$28,860
ISO long25000Apr 5, 2006Apr 7, 2006$495
NGRU long400000Mar 22, 2006Mar 24, 2006$174,955
IMNY long110000Mar 2, 2006Mar 8, 2006$7,693
ILKG long10000Feb 15, 2006Mar 3, 2006$795
GFPE long30000Feb 27, 2006Feb 28, 2006($1,505)
TTSR long20000Feb 27, 2006Feb 28, 2006$7,995
WNWG long20000Feb 27, 2006Feb 28, 2006$8,995
GRWW long20000Feb 21, 2006Feb 22, 2006$9,995
REDI long100000Feb 7, 2006Feb 9, 2006$36,995
CALL long400Feb 8, 2006Feb 8, 2006($18)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.