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Sliced Bread

Futures · Started Jun 2005

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
5.6%
Max Drawdown
38.3%
Trades
679
Win Trades
40.9%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
11.7%

About this strategy



NOTE: Significant changes were made to Sliced Bread on 9/1/08 to reduce open trade equity drawdowns. These changes should smooth the equity curve and improve the Sharpe ratio going forward.

Cant watch the markets all day? Or perhaps you are already trading one of the "gun slinger" systems and you need some long term perspective to diversify your portfolio. Sliced Bread may be just what you need.

When evaluating a trading system, ask yourself these questions:
- Does its trading record depend upon taking very large positions - thus exposing you to excess risk? Sliced Bread typically risks 3%.
- Does it take profits on small moves, thus requiring accurate fills? Sliced Bread was developed using $150 for slippage, so bad fills tend to have little effect on profitability. Trades are for large trends, not tiny intraday movements.
- Do you have to sit in front of the computer all day? Sliced Breads orders are distributed after the market close giving adequate time for order entry. No need to follow the market intraday.
- Is the system well diversified? Are you exposed to large risk because you are only in one or a small number of markets?

Sliced Bread is a long term position trading system. As diversification is key to lowering risk, Sliced Bread trades in nearly all futures markets - metals, currencies, softs, grains, meats, energies, etc. Trade orders are placed in the late afternoon or early evening timeframe. (Exceptions: 1) Contract rollovers are usually done intraday to take advantage of better liquidity. We will notify you of when we are rolling and you can do so at your convenience. 2) Sometimes stops are adjusted intraday. This is only done if the new stops are sufficiently far from the market that receiving them in a timely manner is not critical.) Neither intraday monitoring of the markets nor autotrading is necessary. All trades have protective stops. Note that protective stops are positioned considerably away from the market and are intended to be for "emergency" purposes only - i.e. in the event of some drastic news event. Positions are normally exited when conditions suggest that the trend has matured or changed. Occasionally partial position exits are used, especially if increased market volatility causes trade risk to exceed parameters.

Long term trades are given considerable "leeway", and as such equity in individual trades can vary substantially. Therefore it is recommended that you take most of the trades to gain the diversification needed to prevent large swings in portfolio equity, and to avoid missing that occasional "big one". However, see comments below regarding trade selection for small portfolio size.

Most trades are entered with stops, but there will be an occasional market order. Sometimes there are additional trade signals for a given market after the initial trade has been entered. These "extra" trades are optional, but they often have better success rates than the original trade. These trades are not "averaging down", but are based upon new system trade signals generated independently of the original trade entries.

Trade size risks 3% to 5% per trade, with a maximum of 10% in any one market group.

Smaller accounts may be better served by my other trading system, "Sliced Bread Lite". It restricts itself to fewer markets and smaller position size. However, Sliced Bread can be traded with less capital by following a few guidelines:

1) Because of the large simulated equity for Sliced Bread on C2, trade sizes can be large, and trades are taken in volatile markets. For smaller accounts, consider using the "mini" contracts offered in many markets. These are quite liquid in the grains, metals, and energies.

2) Take only 1 or perhaps 2 trades in a given market group. Sliced Bread may be long corn, soybeans, beanoil, and meal, but you should limit yourself to a selection of markets within a group that is comfortable and does not over expose your account to highly correlated markets. However, it would be better to trade a mini in both corn and soybeans rather than just a single large contract in one market. Remember: Diversification.

3) Gauge your trades from the recommened Sliced Bread trade size. Examples:
a) If we are trading just one contract, dont trade that market unless a "mini" alternative exists. A trade quantity of "1" in the simulated account means that this market is highly volatile, and thus high risk.
b) If we are trading multiple contracts, adjust your trade size by 1/2 or less and remember to limit the number of trades in a market group. Again, the mini contracts can be useful here. If we are trading 2 soybeans, for example, and you want to trade at 1/4 size, you can trade 2 or 3 mini beans.

4) Very small accounts can consider taking only the "extra" trades - those trades entered after the initial trade. These trades tend to have a better risk/reward profile.

Disclosure: I take many, but not all, of the trades presented here. They are not autotraded, but rather placed with a broker within a reasonable timeframe of being distributed to subscribers. As most trades are entered and exited with stops, hopefully I am at neither an advantage nor a disadvantage to anyone subscribing to this service.


Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2005-3.79.2-5.5-1.54.112.95.521.4
20068.33.33.628.316.5-1.7-2.63.3-6.15.912.4-8.175.9
2007-9.0-4.5-3.114.510.711.6-9.8-5.6-2.9-6.3-5.94.2-9.3
200815.529.51.9-24.3-2.27.3-2.4-10.824.025.93.51.572.7
20094.51.9-9.7-1.120.2-11.4-8.7-2.04.3-2.47.1-3.4-4.7
2010-1.52.6-0.20.00.0-0.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.9
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/22/2005
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age258 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades679
# Profitable278
% Profitable40.9%
Avg trade duration18.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown38.3%
drawdown periodMarch 16, 2008 - Aug 21, 2008
Annual Return (Compounded)5.6%
Avg win$4,074
Avg loss$2,218

Ratios

W:L ratio1.27
Sharpe Ratio0.27
Sortino Ratio0.41
Calmar Ratio0.08

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.08
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life528.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-309.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)5.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)6.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity28.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,218
Avg Win$4,074
# Winners278
Sum Trade PL (losers)$889,587
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,132,659
Num Months Winners31
# Losers401
% Winners40.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table256

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)26899.27
Avg Position Time (hrs)448.32
Avg Trade Length18.70
Last Trade Ago6031

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta-0.06
Treynor Index-0.23

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades6.55
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.17
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats17.76
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats68.04
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.32
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.10
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.15

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.14
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.34
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.33
df93
t0.94
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.04
Sortino ratio0.57
Upside Potential Ratio1.69
Upside part of mean0.42
Downside part of mean-0.28
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms28
N of observations94
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance-0.01
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.18
DF error92
t(b)-1.35
p(b)0.91
t(a)1.20
p(a)0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.60
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
Mean0.05
SD0.44
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.12
df93
t0.33
p0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio0.16
Upside Potential Ratio1.15
Upside part of mean0.38
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.33
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms28
N of observations94
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.44
Covariance-0.01
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error92
t(b)-0.54
p(b)0.70
t(a)0.41
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.54
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
VaR(95%)0.18
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.23
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean0.37
SD0.82
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.45
df2064
t1.26
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.15
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.15
Sortino ratio0.77
Upside Potential Ratio4.41
Upside part of mean2.11
Downside part of mean-1.74
Upside SD0.67
Downside SD0.48
N nonnegative terms1488
N negative terms577
N of observations2065
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.37
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0.82
Covariance-0.07
r-0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.44
Mean Square Error0.66
DF error2063
t(b)-7.86
p(b)1
t(a)1.53
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.34
Jensen alpha (a)0.44
Mean0.05
SD0.80
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.06
df2064
t0.18
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.76
Sortino ratio0.09
Upside Potential Ratio3.24
Upside part of mean1.94
Downside part of mean-1.89
Upside SD0.53
Downside SD0.60
N nonnegative terms1488
N negative terms577
N of observations2065
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0.80
Covariance-0.07
r-0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.63
DF error2063
t(b)-7.67
p(b)1
t(a)0.31
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.64
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.20
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.86
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.53
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.72
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.54
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations94
Minimum0.45
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.58
Mean of quarter 10.91
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high17
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.57
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.11
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.13
Number of observations2065
Minimum0.42
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum2.21
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low381
Percentage of outliers low0.18
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high390
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.82
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.59
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.06
Quartile 10.12
Median0.21
Quartile 30.28
Maximum0.59
Mean of quarter 10.07
Mean of quarter 20.18
Mean of quarter 30.25
Mean of quarter 40.45
Inter Quartile Range0.15
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.59
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations17
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.07
Median0.13
Quartile 30.24
Maximum0.63
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.11
Mean of quarter 30.20
Mean of quarter 40.39
Inter Quartile Range0.17
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.63
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.07
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.40
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.50
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.43
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.47
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.82
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-395956064
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)158
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.09
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.12
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.24
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.08
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.13
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.55
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 9 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
CT H0long1Nov 30, 2009Mar 9, 2010$3,702
QGC G0long1Nov 30, 2009Feb 24, 2010($8,698)
EU Z9long1Nov 4, 2009Dec 8, 2009($1,508)
CT Z9long1Oct 15, 2009Dec 1, 2009$1,707
QGC Z9long4Aug 24, 2009Nov 30, 2009$36,158
QCL Z9long1Oct 13, 2009Nov 20, 2009$1,352
US Z9short1Oct 26, 2009Nov 17, 2009($3,008)
S F0short1Nov 13, 2009Nov 16, 2009($1,021)
S F0short1Nov 10, 2009Nov 13, 2009($1,358)
BP Z9short1Sep 18, 2009Nov 9, 2009($2,664)
S F0short1Nov 1, 2009Nov 2, 2009($1,458)
OJ F0long1Oct 27, 2009Nov 2, 2009($803)
OJ X9long2Sep 16, 2009Oct 27, 2009$4,507
KC Z9long1Oct 8, 2009Oct 23, 2009($889)
S X9short1Sep 15, 2009Oct 21, 2009($2,796)
QSI Z9long2Oct 5, 2009Oct 16, 2009$134
LB X9short2Aug 17, 2009Oct 15, 2009($698)
QNG Z9long1Oct 4, 2009Oct 13, 2009$102
BO Z9short1Sep 15, 2009Oct 12, 2009($1,202)
QHO Z9short1Oct 4, 2009Oct 8, 2009($2,944)
CT Z9long1Sep 7, 2009Sep 28, 2009$542
QSI Z9long1Aug 21, 2009Sep 25, 2009$9,242
KC Z9long1Sep 14, 2009Sep 24, 2009($1,133)
C Z9long2Sep 15, 2009Sep 20, 2009($2,916)
LC V9long2Sep 16, 2009Sep 17, 2009($416)
LH V9long2Sep 16, 2009Sep 16, 2009($276)
S X9long1Aug 25, 2009Sep 1, 2009($2,708)
C Z9long1Aug 25, 2009Sep 1, 2009($808)
EU Z9short1Aug 25, 2009Aug 27, 2009($883)
OJ X9long1Aug 20, 2009Aug 25, 2009($608)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.