Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy Quant AI pro Followed by live capital $116,000 Hypothetical

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Auxillatron
(142728137)

Created by: AuxillatronTrade AuxillatronTrade
Started: 11/2022
Futures
Last trade: Today
Trading style: Futures Short Term

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $150.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Short Term
Category: Equity

Short Term

Makes short-term trades or bases analysis on short-term market movements.
35.6%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(23.3%)
Max Drawdown
151
Num Trades
66.9%
Win Trades
1.6 : 1
Profit Factor
50.0%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022                                                                      (2.1%)+26.3%+23.7%
2023(1.2%)+8.4%(0.6%)(4.4%)+9.5%(0.6%)(2.3%)+3.9%+2.7%+10.9%(5.4%)(1%)+20.0%
2024+8.4%+7.2%+2.6%+11.2%(2.8%)+1.3%+9.8%(2.2%)(5.7%)(2.8%)(2.3%)+1.8%+27.5%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 142 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
12/27/24 16:07 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 21722.66 12/30 10:48 21342.02 0.05%
Trade id #150425400
Max drawdown($9)
Time12/27/24 16:15
Quant open1
Worst price21727.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 $760
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/20/24 12:28 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 21804.79 12/24 10:36 21940.83 1.58%
Trade id #150377516
Max drawdown($287)
Time12/24/24 10:36
Quant open1
Worst price21948.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.58%
 ($273)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/18/24 18:01 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 21484.13 12/19 23:38 21228.12 3.03%
Trade id #150359655
Max drawdown($560)
Time12/19/24 22:47
Quant open1
Worst price21203.80
Drawdown as % of equity-3.03%
 ($513)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/17/24 18:04 @MNQH5 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 22218.34 12/17 20:30 22305.36 n/a $173
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/13/24 13:53 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 21763.96 12/16 0:31 21795.03 0.14%
Trade id #150322245
Max drawdown($27)
Time12/13/24 16:36
Quant open1
Worst price21750.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
 $61
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/12/24 16:13 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 21614.52 12/13 13:53 21759.50 3.12%
Trade id #150313868
Max drawdown($586)
Time12/13/24 9:49
Quant open1
Worst price21908.00
Drawdown as % of equity-3.12%
 ($291)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/11/24 10:35 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 21724.99 12/12 11:36 21703.24 1%
Trade id #150300362
Max drawdown($189)
Time12/11/24 15:17
Quant open1
Worst price21819.80
Drawdown as % of equity-1.00%
 $43
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/10/24 16:02 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 21414.38 12/10 23:59 21431.19 0.06%
Trade id #150294056
Max drawdown($11)
Time12/10/24 19:34
Quant open1
Worst price21408.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
 $33
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/9/24 16:31 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 21476.09 12/10 14:44 21430.46 1.38%
Trade id #150284182
Max drawdown($261)
Time12/10/24 10:16
Quant open1
Worst price21606.80
Drawdown as % of equity-1.38%
 $90
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
11/29/24 11:19 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20983.00 12/2 18:02 21204.59 0.47%
Trade id #150209601
Max drawdown($86)
Time12/2/24 1:35
Quant open1
Worst price20939.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.47%
 $442
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
11/22/24 16:09 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 20858.15 11/27 9:37 20874.94 2.43%
Trade id #150157186
Max drawdown($446)
Time11/25/24 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price21081.20
Drawdown as % of equity-2.43%
 ($35)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
11/20/24 16:06 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 20769.81 11/22 10:56 20821.68 1.12%
Trade id #150136799
Max drawdown($206)
Time11/22/24 9:48
Quant open1
Worst price20873.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.12%
 ($105)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
11/19/24 16:01 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 20784.87 11/20 10:21 20497.94 0.65%
Trade id #150126946
Max drawdown($117)
Time11/20/24 3:22
Quant open1
Worst price20843.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.65%
 $573
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
11/18/24 16:04 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20646.63 11/19 14:14 20781.44 2.99%
Trade id #150116581
Max drawdown($529)
Time11/19/24 9:01
Quant open1
Worst price20382.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.99%
 $269
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
11/14/24 20:46 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20890.75 11/15 13:23 20469.31 4.92%
Trade id #150091912
Max drawdown($888)
Time11/15/24 12:54
Quant open1
Worst price20446.80
Drawdown as % of equity-4.92%
 ($844)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
11/12/24 20:19 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 21154.13 11/13 12:30 21182.33 1.02%
Trade id #150071172
Max drawdown($193)
Time11/13/24 10:07
Quant open1
Worst price21057.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.02%
 $55
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
11/5/24 16:02 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 20354.07 11/5 21:31 20490.80 1.53%
Trade id #149996808
Max drawdown($290)
Time11/5/24 21:30
Quant open1
Worst price20499.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.53%
 ($274)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/31/24 16:08 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20058.28 11/5 9:18 20143.80 0.48%
Trade id #149924334
Max drawdown($91)
Time10/31/24 16:30
Quant open1
Worst price20012.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.48%
 $170
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/28/24 21:03 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 20508.21 10/30 12:40 20659.88 2.74%
Trade id #149870172
Max drawdown($513)
Time10/30/24 4:05
Quant open1
Worst price20764.80
Drawdown as % of equity-2.74%
 ($304)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/23/24 18:56 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20283.98 10/24 13:24 20354.03 0.24%
Trade id #149812658
Max drawdown($46)
Time10/24/24 12:13
Quant open1
Worst price20260.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
 $139
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/22/24 19:04 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20508.74 10/23 13:14 20175.56 3.52%
Trade id #149800570
Max drawdown($678)
Time10/23/24 13:14
Quant open1
Worst price20169.50
Drawdown as % of equity-3.52%
 ($667)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/21/24 22:24 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20478.81 10/22 13:06 20498.90 1.21%
Trade id #149776925
Max drawdown($237)
Time10/22/24 8:48
Quant open1
Worst price20360.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.21%
 $39
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/18/24 16:01 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 20480.33 10/21 12:43 20438.12 0.76%
Trade id #149699140
Max drawdown($147)
Time10/21/24 10:19
Quant open1
Worst price20554.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.76%
 $83
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/15/24 16:05 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 20333.49 10/17 11:13 20430.39 1.3%
Trade id #149667451
Max drawdown($256)
Time10/16/24 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price20205.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.30%
 $193
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
10/2/24 11:21 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 20079.83 10/9 14:15 20406.75 3.74%
Trade id #149560828
Max drawdown($737)
Time10/9/24 11:59
Quant open1
Worst price20448.50
Drawdown as % of equity-3.74%
 ($655)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
9/29/24 23:27 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 20205.32 10/1 19:26 19903.50 1.22%
Trade id #149537840
Max drawdown($238)
Time10/1/24 7:05
Quant open1
Worst price20324.80
Drawdown as % of equity-1.22%
 $603
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
9/19/24 2:10 @MNQZ4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 19879.56 9/25 12:39 20213.26 3.96%
Trade id #149448535
Max drawdown($786)
Time9/25/24 10:19
Quant open1
Worst price20272.80
Drawdown as % of equity-3.96%
 ($668)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
9/5/24 16:26 @MNQU4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 18913.22 9/19 2:09 19640.72 7.18%
Trade id #149268382
Max drawdown($1,501)
Time9/18/24 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price19663.80
Drawdown as % of equity-7.18%
 ($1,456)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
8/30/24 16:07 @MNQU4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 19604.81 9/4 18:47 18976.04 0.75%
Trade id #149148224
Max drawdown($156)
Time9/3/24 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price19683.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.75%
 $1,257
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
8/20/24 19:13 @MNQU4 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 19793.66 8/30 16:07 19607.71 6.53%
Trade id #148978344
Max drawdown($1,309)
Time8/29/24 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price19139.00
Drawdown as % of equity-6.53%
 ($373)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    11/30/2022
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $25,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    760.6
  • Age
    25 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    151
  • # Profitable
    101
  • % Profitable
    66.90%
  • Avg trade duration
    3.1 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    23.28%
  • drawdown period
    Sept 06, 2024 - Nov 19, 2024
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    35.6%
  • Avg win
    $351.98
  • Avg loss
    $434.56
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $23,818
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $23,818
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.64:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    1.19
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.95
  • Calmar Ratio
    3.301
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    44.80%
  • Correlation to SP500
    -0.20230
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    46.34%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    35.6%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    22.00%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.15%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.356%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    51.6%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    17.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    3.00%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    1.00%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    627
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    955
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    488
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    863
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $435
  • Avg Win
    $352
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $21,728.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    26
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $35,550.000
  • # Winners
    101
  • Num Months Winners
    14
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    260470
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    50
  • % Winners
    66.9%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    4396.65
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    73.28
  • Avg Trade Length
    3.1 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    0
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    2.06
  • Daily leverage (max)
    2.44
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.10
  • Beta
    -0.33
  • Treynor Index
    -0.25
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.02
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    0.82
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.04
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    3.978
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.03
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.595
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.524
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.251
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.44207
  • SD
    0.26311
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.68017
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.62468
  • df
    23.00000
  • t
    2.37612
  • p
    0.01310
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.19637
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.13156
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.16141
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.08795
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    7.07453
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.67644
  • Upside part of mean
    0.54217
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.10010
  • Upside SD
    0.28058
  • Downside SD
    0.06249
  • N nonnegative terms
    17.00000
  • N negative terms
    7.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    24.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.18102
  • Mean of criterion
    0.44207
  • SD of predictor
    0.13145
  • SD of criterion
    0.26311
  • Covariance
    -0.02255
  • r
    -0.65216
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -1.30541
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.67837
  • Mean Square Error
    0.04159
  • DF error
    22.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.03511
  • p(b)
    0.99972
  • t(a)
    4.35847
  • p(a)
    0.00013
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.97634
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.63448
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.35559
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.00116
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.33864
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.67837
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.40439
  • SD
    0.24106
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.67754
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.62213
  • df
    23.00000
  • t
    2.37240
  • p
    0.01321
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.19399
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.12868
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.15910
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.08517
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    6.32544
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.91899
  • Upside part of mean
    0.50626
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.10188
  • Upside SD
    0.25540
  • Downside SD
    0.06393
  • N nonnegative terms
    17.00000
  • N negative terms
    7.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    24.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.17113
  • Mean of criterion
    0.40439
  • SD of predictor
    0.13072
  • SD of criterion
    0.24106
  • Covariance
    -0.02067
  • r
    -0.65594
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -1.20965
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.61140
  • Mean Square Error
    0.03461
  • DF error
    22.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.07603
  • p(b)
    0.99975
  • t(a)
    4.33564
  • p(a)
    0.00013
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.82512
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.59418
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.31895
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.90384
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.33430
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.61140
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.07759
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.10373
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01312
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02897
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    24.00000
  • Minimum
    0.93786
  • Quartile 1
    0.98966
  • Median
    1.01345
  • Quartile 3
    1.09018
  • Maximum
    1.29122
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97097
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00441
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.03983
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.14146
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.10051
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.04167
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.29122
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.22809
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02785
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.03537
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.37655
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.03478
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.06527
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00970
  • Quartile 1
    0.01226
  • Median
    0.02042
  • Quartile 3
    0.02129
  • Maximum
    0.11595
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01098
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.02042
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02129
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.11595
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00903
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.11595
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.68701
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.54079
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    4.66415
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    4.66415
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    5.21353
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.40331
  • SD
    0.18870
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.13731
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.13433
  • df
    539.00000
  • t
    3.06841
  • p
    0.00113
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.76520
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.50753
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.76318
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.50548
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.71469
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    11.36940
  • Upside part of mean
    1.23439
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.83108
  • Upside SD
    0.15613
  • Downside SD
    0.10857
  • N nonnegative terms
    248.00000
  • N negative terms
    292.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    540.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15913
  • Mean of criterion
    0.40331
  • SD of predictor
    0.13184
  • SD of criterion
    0.18870
  • Covariance
    -0.00518
  • r
    -0.20818
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.29797
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.45100
  • Mean Square Error
    0.03413
  • DF error
    538.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.93687
  • p(b)
    1.00000
  • t(a)
    3.49299
  • p(a)
    0.00026
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.41654
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.17941
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.19725
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.70420
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.35351
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.45073
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.38534
  • SD
    0.18765
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.05344
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.05058
  • df
    539.00000
  • t
    2.94800
  • p
    0.00167
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.68178
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.42320
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.67988
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.42127
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.51524
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    11.15040
  • Upside part of mean
    1.22230
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.83696
  • Upside SD
    0.15395
  • Downside SD
    0.10962
  • N nonnegative terms
    248.00000
  • N negative terms
    292.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    540.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15039
  • Mean of criterion
    0.38534
  • SD of predictor
    0.13190
  • SD of criterion
    0.18765
  • Covariance
    -0.00515
  • r
    -0.20818
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.29619
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.42988
  • Mean Square Error
    0.03375
  • DF error
    538.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.93691
  • p(b)
    1.00000
  • t(a)
    3.35101
  • p(a)
    0.00043
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.41405
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.17834
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.17788
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.68188
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.30097
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.42988
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01744
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02218
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00766
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01506
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    540.00000
  • Minimum
    0.96271
  • Quartile 1
    0.99587
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00629
  • Maximum
    1.06786
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98846
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99908
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00241
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01663
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01042
  • Number outliers low
    14.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.02593
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.97423
  • Number of outliers high
    33.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06111
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.03022
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.17856
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01024
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01303
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.01926
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01068
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01460
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    32.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00081
  • Quartile 1
    0.00787
  • Median
    0.01987
  • Quartile 3
    0.04894
  • Maximum
    0.15503
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00350
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01361
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.03472
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.08237
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.04107
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.03125
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.15503
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.04094
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08712
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.10973
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.32850
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.09551
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.14896
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.65194
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.51172
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.30083
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    6.21220
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    23.06680
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.01167
  • SD
    0.16606
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.07027
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.06986
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.04968
  • p
    0.49782
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.70168
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.84197
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.70196
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.84168
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    0.10692
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.24339
  • Upside part of mean
    0.89957
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.88790
  • Upside SD
    0.12433
  • Downside SD
    0.10913
  • N nonnegative terms
    52.00000
  • N negative terms
    79.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.12649
  • Mean of criterion
    0.01167
  • SD of predictor
    0.14464
  • SD of criterion
    0.16606
  • Covariance
    -0.00954
  • r
    -0.39716
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.45598
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.06935
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02341
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.91518
  • p(b)
    0.74603
  • t(a)
    0.32004
  • p(a)
    0.48207
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.63953
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.27244
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.35936
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.49805
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.02559
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.06935
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.00197
  • SD
    0.16563
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.01188
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.01181
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    -0.00840
  • p
    0.50037
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.78368
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.75993
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.78361
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.76000
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.01786
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.10046
  • Upside part of mean
    0.89187
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.89383
  • Upside SD
    0.12289
  • Downside SD
    0.11010
  • N nonnegative terms
    52.00000
  • N negative terms
    79.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11604
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.00197
  • SD of predictor
    0.14499
  • SD of criterion
    0.16563
  • Covariance
    -0.00953
  • r
    -0.39675
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.45322
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.05062
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02329
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.90911
  • p(b)
    0.74579
  • t(a)
    0.23425
  • p(a)
    0.48687
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01700
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.63589
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.27056
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.37695
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.47820
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.00434
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.05062
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01670
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02089
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00877
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01649
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.97080
  • Quartile 1
    0.99505
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00408
  • Maximum
    1.03854
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98833
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99847
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00117
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01266
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00903
  • Number outliers low
    5.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.03817
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.97676
  • Number of outliers high
    9.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06870
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.02472
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.04024
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01109
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01460
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.12809
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01206
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01754
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00081
  • Quartile 1
    0.00692
  • Median
    0.02090
  • Quartile 3
    0.07874
  • Maximum
    0.15503
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00387
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.02090
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.07874
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.15503
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.07182
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.75%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -428316000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    74
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.02611
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.02628
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    0.16952
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.16952
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    1.25823

Strategy Description

Auxillatron is a Micro e-Mini NASDAQ-100 Index Futures trading system. System will attempt to average 100% leverage with a 150% leverage maximum.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2022-11-30
Suggested Minimum Capital
$25,000
# Trades
151
# Profitable
101
% Profitable
66.9%
Correlation S&P500
-0.202
Sharpe Ratio
1.19
Sortino Ratio
1.95
Beta
-0.33
Alpha
0.10
Leverage
2.06 Average
2.44 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.