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C2Star Strategy Better do now C2Star Certified Hypothetical

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Contrarian Value Trading
(114146885)

Created by: Quantastic Quantastic
Started: 10/2017
Options
Last trade: 118 days ago
Trading style: Options Premium Collecting Directional Bets

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $89.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Options
Premium Collecting
Category: Equity

Premium Collecting

A trading strategy that, while typically profitable on a trade-by-trade basis, has some possibility of infrequent, but extremely large, losses.
Directional Bets
Category: Equity

Directional Bets

Uses primarily options to make bets about the direction or magnitude of price movements in assets.
71.6%
Annual Return (Compounded)

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return is calculated

= ((Ending_equity / Starting_equity) ^ (1 / age_in_years)) - 1

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(88.5%)
Max Drawdown
363
Num Trades
71.9%
Win Trades
2.7 : 1
Profit Factor
56.2%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2017                                                               (3.1%)+9.0%+8.1%+14.2%
2018(4.5%)(5.3%)+0.2%(0.2%)(11.4%)+6.3%(10.1%)(3.9%)(14.5%)+8.2%(2.6%)(11.6%)(41.4%)
2019(16.7%)(21.3%)+2.5%(25.6%)  -  (42%)(29%)(8.6%)+124.3%+44.6%(34.2%)
2020+87.9%+14.5%(50.3%)+164.3%+8.1%+30.0%+49.8%+72.2%(7.3%)+0.3%+36.3%+15.2%+1393.3%
2021+39.7%(16.5%)(17.4%)+12.6%(11.2%)+12.6%(0.3%)+5.2%+12.4%+47.9%+3.4%+5.7%+106.7%
2022(5.4%)+3.4%+3.4%+6.1%+3.6%(2.2%)+3.0%(5.1%)+3.1%(1.1%)+2.7%(0.3%)+11.0%
2023+20.5%(7.8%)+13.9%                                                      +26.5%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 100 hours.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 136 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. The most recent trade in a real-money brokerage account occurred more than 222 days ago.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
11/25/22 9:51 GOLD BARRICK GOLD CORP LONG 6,300 16.23 11/25 9:52 16.23 n/a ($5)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
11/24/22 10:19 QGCM6 Gold 100 oz LONG 1 2089.7 11/25 9:49 1850.0 9%
Trade id #142669961
Max drawdown($11,400)
Time11/25/22 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price1975.7
Drawdown as % of equity-9.00%
 ($23,978)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
11/23/22 16:33 QGCX2 Gold 100 oz LONG 1 1749.8 11/24 10:17 1755.6 n/a $572
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
6/10/22 12:30 GDXJ2419A70 GDXJ Jan19'24 70 call LONG 5 2.47 11/24 9:57 0.71 0.92%
Trade id #140735743
Max drawdown($1,045)
Time9/1/22 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price0.38
Drawdown as % of equity-0.92%
 ($887)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
1/8/22 9:35 USO UNITED STATES OIL SHORT 100 54.00 11/24 9:57 67.60 3.2%
Trade id #138873327
Max drawdown($3,820)
Time6/8/22 0:00
Quant open100
Worst price92.20
Drawdown as % of equity-3.20%
 ($1,362)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
12/17/21 9:35 C.SPOT EARTHLABS INC LONG 50,000 0.33 11/24/22 9:57 0.20 4.68%
Trade id #138617352
Max drawdown($6,426)
Time11/23/22 0:00
Quant open50,000
Worst price0.20
Drawdown as % of equity-4.68%
 ($6,467)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.50
11/23/22 14:08 SPY2225W401 SPY Nov25'22 401 put SHORT 1 1.09 11/24 9:57 0.55 0.03%
Trade id #142663674
Max drawdown($35)
Time11/23/22 14:11
Quant open1
Worst price1.44
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 $52
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
11/23/22 10:31 SPY2223W401 SPY Nov23'22 401 put SHORT 1 0.79 11/24 8:05 0.00 0.1%
Trade id #142659817
Max drawdown($139)
Time11/23/22 12:58
Quant open1
Worst price2.18
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
 $78
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
5/12/22 15:38 MUX MCEWEN MINING LONG 1,300 4.95 11/23 15:53 5.56 1.04%
Trade id #140458605
Max drawdown($1,216)
Time8/22/22 0:00
Quant open500
Worst price2.81
Drawdown as % of equity-1.04%
 $776
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $15.50
10/21/22 10:51 GOLD BARRICK GOLD CORP LONG 9,100 15.33 11/23 12:25 16.02 2.4%
Trade id #142262928
Max drawdown($2,655)
Time11/3/22 0:00
Quant open1,500
Worst price13.01
Drawdown as % of equity-2.40%
 $6,300
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $12.50
12/17/21 10:07 PALL ABRDN PHYSICAL PALLADIUM SHARES ETF SHORT 40 175.28 11/23/22 11:42 177.60 2.46%
Trade id #138618437
Max drawdown($2,506)
Time3/8/22 0:00
Quant open20
Worst price298.21
Drawdown as % of equity-2.46%
 ($94)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.80
7/16/22 9:35 GDX VANECK GOLD MINERS ETF LONG 500 27.85 11/23 10:25 28.09 1.37%
Trade id #141080470
Max drawdown($1,496)
Time9/26/22 0:00
Quant open200
Worst price21.52
Drawdown as % of equity-1.37%
 $111
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.00
6/18/22 9:35 GDXJ VANECK JUNIOR GOLD MINERS ETF LONG 2,200 32.64 11/21 9:32 33.26 13.82%
Trade id #140802846
Max drawdown($15,039)
Time9/26/22 0:00
Quant open2,200
Worst price25.80
Drawdown as % of equity-13.82%
 $1,348
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.50
10/26/22 11:48 GDXJ2218K34 GDXJ Nov18'22 34 call SHORT 22 0.51 11/19 9:35 0.00 1.63%
Trade id #142327146
Max drawdown($2,024)
Time11/10/22 0:00
Quant open22
Worst price1.43
Drawdown as % of equity-1.63%
 $1,107
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $15.40
8/12/22 12:20 SPY2218K445 SPY Nov18'22 445 call LONG 10 8.06 11/19 9:35 0.00 6.77%
Trade id #141403004
Max drawdown($8,050)
Time11/2/22 0:00
Quant open10
Worst price0.01
Drawdown as % of equity-6.77%
 ($8,067)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
8/12/22 12:20 SPY2218K440 SPY Nov18'22 440 call SHORT 10 9.97 11/19 9:35 0.00 2.78%
Trade id #141403007
Max drawdown($3,390)
Time8/16/22 0:00
Quant open10
Worst price13.36
Drawdown as % of equity-2.78%
 $9,963
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
11/15/22 10:43 SPY2215W400 SPY Nov15'22 400 put SHORT 2 0.86 11/15 14:09 4.59 0.7%
Trade id #142570136
Max drawdown($928)
Time11/15/22 13:40
Quant open2
Worst price5.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.70%
 ($749)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.80
11/11/22 13:43 SPY2214W394 SPY Nov14'22 394 put SHORT 1 1.26 11/15 8:05 0.00 0%
Trade id #142538719
Max drawdown($4)
Time11/11/22 15:15
Quant open1
Worst price1.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
 $125
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
10/24/22 11:15 META2216X110 META Dec16'22 110 put SHORT 4 5.20 11/14 10:22 4.65 6.01%
Trade id #142286281
Max drawdown($6,660)
Time11/3/22 0:00
Quant open4
Worst price21.85
Drawdown as % of equity-6.01%
 $214
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.60
11/11/22 13:42 SPY2211W397 SPY Nov11'22 397 put SHORT 1 0.71 11/12 9:35 0.00 0%
Trade id #142538707
Max drawdown($6)
Time11/11/22 13:48
Quant open1
Worst price0.77
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
 $70
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
11/10/22 9:52 SPY2211W384 SPY Nov11'22 384 put SHORT 1 1.55 11/12 9:35 0.00 n/a $154
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
10/11/22 12:31 GOLD2211W14.5 GOLD Nov11'22 14.5 put SHORT 10 0.47 11/12 9:35 0.00 0.92%
Trade id #142125793
Max drawdown($1,020)
Time11/3/22 0:00
Quant open10
Worst price1.49
Drawdown as % of equity-0.92%
 $463
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
7/16/22 9:35 PTON PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC. CLASS A LONG 300 10.00 11/11 14:11 10.35 0.85%
Trade id #141080459
Max drawdown($1,002)
Time10/3/22 0:00
Quant open300
Worst price6.66
Drawdown as % of equity-0.85%
 $99
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
7/18/22 10:33 PTON2320A9 PTON Jan20'23 9 call SHORT 3 2.60 11/11 14:10 2.43 0.9%
Trade id #141091354
Max drawdown($1,095)
Time8/16/22 0:00
Quant open3
Worst price6.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.90%
 $47
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.20
11/1/22 11:56 META2315U75 META Sep15'23 75 put SHORT 5 8.05 11/2 15:26 8.80 0.24%
Trade id #142397836
Max drawdown($275)
Time11/2/22 15:14
Quant open5
Worst price8.60
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
 ($382)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
10/27/22 9:34 META2218W90 META Nov18'22 90 put SHORT 2 2.25 11/2 15:21 2.94 0.19%
Trade id #142340924
Max drawdown($230)
Time10/31/22 0:00
Quant open2
Worst price3.40
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
 ($141)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.80
11/2/22 14:08 SPY2202W381 SPY Nov2'22 381 put SHORT 1 0.74 11/2 14:44 0.56 0.07%
Trade id #142414048
Max drawdown($86)
Time11/2/22 14:38
Quant open1
Worst price1.60
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
 $16
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
10/31/22 13:35 SPY2202W378 SPY Nov2'22 378 put SHORT 1 0.92 11/1 11:39 1.38 0.11%
Trade id #142384651
Max drawdown($128)
Time11/1/22 10:00
Quant open1
Worst price2.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
 ($48)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
10/31/22 11:39 QQQ2202W269 QQQ Nov2'22 269 put SHORT 1 0.75 11/1 10:37 0.54 0.01%
Trade id #142381956
Max drawdown($11)
Time11/1/22 10:20
Quant open1
Worst price0.86
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $19
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
11/1/22 9:46 SPY2202W379 SPY Nov2'22 379 put SHORT 1 0.75 11/1 10:05 1.16 0.04%
Trade id #142393314
Max drawdown($42)
Time11/1/22 10:05
Quant open1
Worst price1.17
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
 ($43)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    10/10/2017
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $35,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    1989.14
  • Age
    66 months ago
  • What it trades
    Options
  • # Trades
    363
  • # Profitable
    261
  • % Profitable
    71.90%
  • Avg trade duration
    30.4 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    88.53%
  • drawdown period
    Jan 12, 2018 - Oct 11, 2019
  • Annual Return (Compounded)
    71.6%
  • Avg win
    $917.18
  • Avg loss
    $875.50
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $40,975
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $76,108
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    2.69:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.83
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.78
  • Calmar Ratio
    2.961
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    1754.18%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.25730
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    54.35%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    71.6%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    1.50%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    0.01%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.02%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    16.97%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.716%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    0.80%
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    0.20%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    0.01%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    73.5%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    68.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    60.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    36.50%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    23.00%
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    7.00%
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    0.50%
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    12.50%
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    594
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    1
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    498
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $876
  • Avg Win
    $917
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $89,301.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    66
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $239,385.000
  • # Winners
    261
  • Num Months Winners
    36
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    952
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    102
  • % Winners
    71.9%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    43841.70
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    730.70
  • Avg Trade Length
    30.4 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    118
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    1.52
  • Daily leverage (max)
    6.41
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.21
  • Beta
    1.06
  • Treynor Index
    0.22
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.01
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    79.13
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    28.20
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    0.68
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    1.852
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.685
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.167
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.571
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.66786
  • SD
    1.69876
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.98181
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.96059
  • df
    35.00000
  • t
    1.70054
  • p
    0.04895
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.17944
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.12967
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.19315
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.11433
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    8.77845
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.50970
  • Upside part of mean
    1.99678
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.32892
  • Upside SD
    1.73244
  • Downside SD
    0.18999
  • N nonnegative terms
    21.00000
  • N negative terms
    15.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    36.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.14495
  • Mean of criterion
    1.66786
  • SD of predictor
    0.23197
  • SD of criterion
    1.69876
  • Covariance
    0.15560
  • r
    0.39486
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    2.89166
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    1.24871
  • Mean Square Error
    2.50750
  • DF error
    34.00000
  • t(b)
    2.50605
  • p(b)
    0.00858
  • t(a)
    1.34354
  • p(a)
    0.09400
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.54671
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    5.23662
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.64009
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    3.13750
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.57678
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    1.24871
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.95920
  • SD
    0.96308
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.99596
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.97444
  • df
    35.00000
  • t
    1.72506
  • p
    0.04667
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.16604
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.14440
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.17994
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.12882
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.73975
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    6.45816
  • Upside part of mean
    1.30696
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.34776
  • Upside SD
    0.96824
  • Downside SD
    0.20237
  • N nonnegative terms
    21.00000
  • N negative terms
    15.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    36.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11875
  • Mean of criterion
    0.95920
  • SD of predictor
    0.22597
  • SD of criterion
    0.96308
  • Covariance
    0.08111
  • r
    0.37269
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.58841
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.77057
  • Mean Square Error
    0.82219
  • DF error
    34.00000
  • t(b)
    2.34183
  • p(b)
    0.01259
  • t(a)
    1.45482
  • p(a)
    0.07745
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.20998
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    2.96684
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.30585
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.84699
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.60387
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.77057
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.31433
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.38643
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.05632
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.11192
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    36.00000
  • Minimum
    0.84682
  • Quartile 1
    0.97616
  • Median
    1.02883
  • Quartile 3
    1.07449
  • Maximum
    3.35580
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.90046
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99991
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.04914
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.61576
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.09833
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.08333
  • Mean of outliers high
    2.56348
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -2.65596
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.08215
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.08285
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -1.05770
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.09782
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.10560
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.02103
  • Quartile 1
    0.04007
  • Median
    0.11428
  • Quartile 3
    0.11573
  • Maximum
    0.42663
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.03055
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.11428
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.11573
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.42663
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.07566
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.42663
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    6.10777
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.68345
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.94588
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    3.94588
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    4.35643
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.22333
  • SD
    0.73886
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.65570
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.65413
  • df
    790.00000
  • t
    2.87686
  • p
    0.00206
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.52422
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.78613
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.52318
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.78507
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.36334
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.14380
  • Upside part of mean
    3.68953
  • Downside part of mean
    -2.46621
  • Upside SD
    0.64702
  • Downside SD
    0.36372
  • N nonnegative terms
    400.00000
  • N negative terms
    391.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    791.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15769
  • Mean of criterion
    1.22333
  • SD of predictor
    0.29218
  • SD of criterion
    0.73886
  • Covariance
    0.07829
  • r
    0.36266
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.91708
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    1.07900
  • Mean Square Error
    0.47471
  • DF error
    789.00000
  • t(b)
    10.93090
  • p(b)
    -0.00000
  • t(a)
    2.71886
  • p(a)
    0.00335
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.75239
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.08177
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.29990
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.85753
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.33393
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    1.07872
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.96732
  • SD
    0.70151
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.37890
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.37759
  • df
    790.00000
  • t
    2.39591
  • p
    0.00841
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.24845
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.50855
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.24754
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.50764
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.52708
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.15417
  • Upside part of mean
    3.50404
  • Downside part of mean
    -2.53672
  • Upside SD
    0.59038
  • Downside SD
    0.38278
  • N nonnegative terms
    400.00000
  • N negative terms
    391.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    791.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.11587
  • Mean of criterion
    0.96732
  • SD of predictor
    0.28808
  • SD of criterion
    0.70151
  • Covariance
    0.07621
  • r
    0.37712
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.91834
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.86091
  • Mean Square Error
    0.42267
  • DF error
    789.00000
  • t(b)
    11.43740
  • p(b)
    -0.00000
  • t(a)
    2.30018
  • p(a)
    0.01085
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.76073
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.07596
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.12621
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.59561
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.05333
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.86091
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.06536
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.08202
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02123
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04442
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    791.00000
  • Minimum
    0.81434
  • Quartile 1
    0.99040
  • Median
    1.00038
  • Quartile 3
    1.01201
  • Maximum
    1.33348
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.96670
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99592
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00572
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.05078
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02161
  • Number outliers low
    41.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.05183
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.92079
  • Number of outliers high
    55.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.06953
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.12172
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.40986
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.03123
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.06230
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.23417
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02964
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.04910
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    38.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00014
  • Quartile 1
    0.00964
  • Median
    0.02797
  • Quartile 3
    0.10563
  • Maximum
    0.57596
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00569
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01680
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.05045
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.23836
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.09599
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.07895
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.45453
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.49590
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.28277
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.58703
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.07332
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.20034
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    6.35273
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.70533
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.96085
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    7.15449
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    20.79240
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.53716
  • SD
    0.39637
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.35520
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.34737
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.95827
  • p
    0.45813
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.42404
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.12936
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.42927
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.12401
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.00477
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.79056
  • Upside part of mean
    2.62327
  • Downside part of mean
    -2.08612
  • Upside SD
    0.29192
  • Downside SD
    0.26794
  • N nonnegative terms
    71.00000
  • N negative terms
    60.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.06070
  • Mean of criterion
    0.53716
  • SD of predictor
    0.23641
  • SD of criterion
    0.39637
  • Covariance
    0.04653
  • r
    0.49653
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.83250
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.58769
  • Mean Square Error
    0.11929
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    6.49697
  • p(b)
    0.19742
  • t(a)
    1.20302
  • p(a)
    0.43307
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.57898
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.08602
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.37884
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.55422
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.64523
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.58769
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.45855
  • SD
    0.39704
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.15491
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.14824
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    0.81665
  • p
    0.46428
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.62262
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.92810
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.62708
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.92356
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.66753
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.38814
  • Upside part of mean
    2.58160
  • Downside part of mean
    -2.12305
  • Upside SD
    0.28570
  • Downside SD
    0.27498
  • N nonnegative terms
    71.00000
  • N negative terms
    60.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.08830
  • Mean of criterion
    0.45855
  • SD of predictor
    0.23556
  • SD of criterion
    0.39704
  • Covariance
    0.04634
  • r
    0.49549
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.83517
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.53229
  • Mean Square Error
    0.11986
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    6.47895
  • p(b)
    0.19799
  • t(a)
    1.08687
  • p(a)
    0.43945
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.06500
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.58013
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.09021
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.43668
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.50126
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.54905
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.53229
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03786
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04763
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01732
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03459
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.92359
  • Quartile 1
    0.98824
  • Median
    1.00206
  • Quartile 3
    1.01525
  • Maximum
    1.08247
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97260
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99618
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00828
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.03176
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02701
  • Number outliers low
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.02290
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.92548
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.01527
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.07240
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.24204
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02809
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.04438
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.25402
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02889
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.03574
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    9.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00312
  • Quartile 1
    0.02651
  • Median
    0.07302
  • Quartile 3
    0.11927
  • Maximum
    0.17797
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01666
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.05524
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.10869
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.15817
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.09276
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -1.60312
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.16755
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.17054
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.05165
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.18951
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.50%
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.23278
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -352043000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    637
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.55072
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.62654
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.52048
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    3.96113
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    13.15340

Strategy Description

If this strategy should get 2 subscribers I will make this strategy TOS. I trade this style successfully in my personal account for nearly 2 years now.

Trading purely contrarian value style. One of the hardest to master but most rewarding style. The most successfull investors like Warren Buffet use this style.
Buying stocks when everybody else sells. Using cash secured Puts to buy the stocks and Covered Calls to sell the stocks when my price target is reached and when euphoria starts to begin. This works like a discounted stock purchase and has absolutely nothing to do with the high risk option strategies busting accounts. Just working wonderfully with contrarian style. So this strategy has the risk of a pure stock buying strategy.
Mostly trading tech stocks cause there i have the most knowledge and edge. I am a multipotentialist and original thinker so I can find connections the most people just dont see.

This trading style works different to normal strategies. So you can expect a low correlation to other strategies and you shouldnt expect stop limits for protection. I buy into massive falling prices and use the reduced prices to add to the positions instead. I base my buys on dtrong fundamental believes. So dont worry if a trade look stuipid. Thats the sense of the contrarian approach. When you want to know why buy or sell a stock just ask me.
Most times io am right in the long run. But you need a time horizon of about 6-18 month. This trading style needs some time.

Also using shorting and earnings plays to balance the risk. So no need to worry the next crash. Anyway black swan events can cause some problems for a short period of time if volatility rises enourmesly. So always keep enough Margin in reserve when using this strategy.
Trade this strategy at Interactive Brokers

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2017-10-10
Suggested Minimum Capital
$35,000
# Trades
363
# Profitable
261
% Profitable
71.9%
Net Dividends
$952
Correlation S&P500
0.257
Sharpe Ratio
0.83
Sortino Ratio
1.78
Beta
1.06
Alpha
0.21
Leverage
1.52 Average
6.41 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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