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Atitude

Futures · Futures · Started Feb 2023

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
11.7%
Max Drawdown
17.1%
Trades
370
Win Trades
55.4%
Profit Factor
1.60
Win Months
18.2%

About this strategy

Trading is up to your atitude. When you trade it seriously, you will not let the bad thing happen, what is bad thing, violate rules, made wrong choice, that's not good, It's serious.

Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20239.41.31.04.08.32.5-2.912.35.50.00.048.6
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/13/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$38,720
Age44 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades370
# Profitable205
% Profitable55.4%
Avg trade duration8.3 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown17.1%
drawdown periodSept 19, 2023 - Oct 15, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)11.7%
Avg win$308
Avg loss$233

Ratios

W:L ratio1.64
Sharpe Ratio0.86
Sortino Ratio1.58
Calmar Ratio6.49

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life86.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-36.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)11.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)14.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss8.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.9%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)328
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$233
Avg Win$308
# Winners205
Sum Trade PL (losers)$38,481
Sum Trade PL (winners)$63,083
Num Months Winners8
# Losers165
% Winners55.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table44

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)496.12
Avg Position Time (hrs)8.27
Avg Trade Length0.30
Last Trade Ago1061

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)4.54
Daily leverage (max)46.92

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index-2.45

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-6.47
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.13
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats58.60
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats78.67
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.10
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.32
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.15

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.53
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)4.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.84
df10
t3.98
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.49
Sortino ratio153.67
Upside Potential Ratio155.15
Upside part of mean0.53
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms2
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.53
Mean of criterion0.53
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.02
r-0.52
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.65
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error9
t(b)-1.83
p(b)0.95
t(a)4.76
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.96
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.65
Mean0.51
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)4.21
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.89
df10
t4.03
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.55
Sortino ratio148.27
Upside Potential Ratio149.75
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.01
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms2
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.48
Mean of criterion0.51
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance-0.02
r-0.52
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.62
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error9
t(b)-1.82
p(b)0.95
t(a)4.80
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.92
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.16
Jensen alpha (a)0.62
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.49
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.16
df256
t3.14
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.17
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.17
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.16
Sortino ratio6.82
Upside Potential Ratio10.91
Upside part of mean0.78
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms90
N negative terms167
N of observations257
Mean of predictor0.61
Mean of criterion0.49
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance-0.00
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.50
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error255
t(b)-0.72
p(b)0.76
t(a)3.21
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.81
Treynor index (mean / b)-19.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.50
Mean0.47
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.12
df256
t3.10
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation5.12
Sortino ratio6.53
Upside Potential Ratio10.59
Upside part of mean0.77
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms90
N negative terms167
N of observations257
Mean of predictor0.57
Mean of criterion0.47
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.49
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error255
t(b)-0.68
p(b)0.75
t(a)3.16
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.79
Treynor index (mean / b)-20.48
Jensen alpha (a)0.49
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.36
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.90
df130
t1.35
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.88
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.68
Sortino ratio3.73
Upside Potential Ratio7.82
Upside part of mean0.75
Downside part of mean-0.39
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms107
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.07
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance-0.00
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.39
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)-0.69
p(b)0.54
t(a)1.45
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.92
Treynor index (mean / b)-11.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.39
Mean0.34
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.84
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.83
df130
t1.30
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.95
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.61
Sortino ratio3.48
Upside Potential Ratio7.53
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-0.39
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms107
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.00
Mean of criterion0.34
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance-0.00
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.37
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error129
t(b)-0.65
p(b)0.54
t(a)1.39
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.89
Treynor index (mean / b)-11.73
Jensen alpha (a)0.37
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum1
Quartile 11.02
Median1.05
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.04
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations257
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low24
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high46
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.39
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.29
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low24
Percentage of outliers low0.18
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high24
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations14
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high0.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.95
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-378994304
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)26
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.69
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.71
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal24.52
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.65
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.65
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.49
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs13.87
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal37.62
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.40
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.44
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.41
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs4.41
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal20.18

Trading record

Placed 380 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@ES Z3short8Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023$474
@ES Z3short8Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023$4,674
@ES Z3short3Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023$376
@ES Z3short2Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023($116)
@ES Z3short2Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023$572
@ES Z3short2Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023$434
@ES Z3short2Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023($116)
@ES Z3long2Oct 18, 2023Oct 18, 2023($641)
@MNQ Z3long10Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023$504
@MNQ Z3long30Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023$660
@MNQ Z3short20Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023($467)
@YM Z3long6Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023$647
@ES Z3long10Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023$4,533
@RTY Z3short10Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023($385)
@ES Z3short2Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023($241)
@ES Z3short8Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023$311
@ES Z3long4Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023($3,570)
DXM Z3long5Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023$303
@ES Z3long1Oct 17, 2023Oct 17, 2023$130
@ES Z3long8Oct 16, 2023Oct 16, 2023($114)
@YM Z3long2Oct 16, 2023Oct 16, 2023$104
@YM Z3short1Oct 16, 2023Oct 16, 2023($153)
@YM Z3short3Oct 15, 2023Oct 16, 2023($149)
@ES Z3long6Oct 13, 2023Oct 15, 2023$2,302
@ES Z3short5Oct 13, 2023Oct 13, 2023($1,690)
@ES Z3long6Oct 13, 2023Oct 13, 2023($2,573)
@ES Z3short6Oct 13, 2023Oct 13, 2023($23)
@ES Z3long4Oct 13, 2023Oct 13, 2023($1,720)
@YM Z3short8Oct 13, 2023Oct 13, 2023$791
@YM Z3short6Oct 13, 2023Oct 13, 2023($153)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.