Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Max Stock Trading

Stocks · Started Nov 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-18.1%
Max Drawdown
73.2%
Trades
63
Win Trades
77.8%
Profit Factor
0.40
Win Months
48.7%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-0.1-0.8-0.9
20235.77.04.52.60.4-11.21.01.77.12.4-13.6-7.5-2.8
2024-7.3-6.2-14.216.5-1.2-8.5-0.2-12.5-12.2-4.70.0
2025-25.90.0-6.92.10.010.51.8-61.0
20266.37.40.01.84.6-3.610.823.3

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/25/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age47 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades63
# Profitable49
% Profitable77.8%
Avg trade duration332.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown73.2%
drawdown periodJune 07, 2023 - July 21, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)-18.1%
Avg win$794
Avg loss$6,343

Ratios

W:L ratio0.40
Sharpe Ratio-0.48
Sortino Ratio-0.65
Calmar Ratio-0.62

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.46
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life92.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-146.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-18.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-17.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity169.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss43.5%
Chance of 20% account loss6.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$6,342
Avg Win$794
# Winners49
Sum Trade PL (losers)$88,795
Sum Trade PL (winners)$38,885
Num Months Winners19
# Losers14
% Winners77.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct-3156

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table47

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)478738.03
Avg Position Time (hrs)7978.97
Avg Trade Length332.50
Last Trade Ago1152

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.30
Daily leverage (max)1.89

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-1.01
Treynor Index0.05

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.16
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.20
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.67
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-7.76
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.08
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.17
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-4.00
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-1.05

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.66
SD0.48
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.27
df12
t-1.42
p0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.68
Sortino ratio-1.36
Upside Potential Ratio0.55
Upside part of mean0.26
Downside part of mean-0.92
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.48
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms8
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.61
Mean of criterion-0.66
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.48
Covariance-0.15
r-0.88
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error11
t(b)-6.10
p(b)1.00
t(a)0.33
p(a)0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.66
Treynor index (mean / b)0.54
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean-0.81
SD0.57
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.34
df12
t-1.49
p0.70
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.56
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.62
Sortino ratio-1.40
Upside Potential Ratio0.44
Upside part of mean0.25
Downside part of mean-1.07
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.58
N nonnegative terms5
N negative terms8
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion-0.81
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.57
Covariance-0.16
r-0.89
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.63
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error11
t(b)-6.59
p(b)1.00
t(a)0.29
p(a)0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.72
Treynor index (mean / b)0.50
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.29
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.33
VaR(95%)0.20
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.36
Mean-0.49
SD0.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.99
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.98
df287
t-1.04
p0.85
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.89
Sortino ratio-1.34
Upside Potential Ratio4.98
Upside part of mean1.83
Downside part of mean-2.32
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms137
N negative terms151
N of observations288
Mean of predictor0.58
Mean of criterion-0.49
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.50
Covariance-0.04
r-0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.68
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error286
t(b)-5.80
p(b)1
t(a)-0.21
p(a)0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.80
Treynor index (mean / b)0.72
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
Mean-0.62
SD0.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.24
df287
t-1.30
p0.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.64
Sortino ratio-1.60
Upside Potential Ratio4.61
Upside part of mean1.78
Downside part of mean-2.40
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.39
N nonnegative terms137
N negative terms151
N of observations288
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion-0.62
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.50
Covariance-0.04
r-0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.72
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.22
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error286
t(b)-6.02
p(b)1
t(a)-0.49
p(a)0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.67
Treynor index (mean / b)0.86
Jensen alpha (a)-0.22
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-1.22
SD0.72
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.69
df130
t-1.20
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.47
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.09
Sortino ratio-2.29
Upside Potential Ratio5.16
Upside part of mean2.76
Downside part of mean-3.98
Upside SD0.48
Downside SD0.53
N nonnegative terms59
N negative terms72
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.09
Mean of criterion-1.22
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.72
Covariance-0.07
r-0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.76
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.40
Mean Square Error0.46
DF error129
t(b)-3.87
p(b)0.70
t(a)-0.40
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.55
Treynor index (mean / b)1.61
Jensen alpha (a)-0.40
Mean-1.48
SD0.72
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.06
df130
t-1.46
p0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.72
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.73
Sortino ratio-2.64
Upside Potential Ratio4.72
Upside part of mean2.65
Downside part of mean-4.13
Upside SD0.45
Downside SD0.56
N nonnegative terms59
N negative terms72
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.04
Mean of criterion-1.48
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.72
Covariance-0.07
r-0.33
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.80
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.65
Mean Square Error0.46
DF error129
t(b)-4.03
p(b)0.71
t(a)-0.66
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.19
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.29
Treynor index (mean / b)1.85
Jensen alpha (a)-0.65
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations13
Minimum0.64
Quartile 10.91
Median0.99
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.78
Mean of quarter 20.96
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.08
Inter Quartile Range0.14
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.67
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.17
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.29
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.36
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.28
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.34
Number of observations288
Minimum0.86
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.23
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low20
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high13
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.82
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.18
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.51
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations131
Minimum0.86
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.23
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.55
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.13
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.17
Median0.33
Quartile 30.49
Maximum0.65
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.65
Inter Quartile Range0.32
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.72
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.39
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.72
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.35
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.36
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)6.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)7.94
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.72
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.39
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.72
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-385239904
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)775
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.53
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.54
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.84
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.84
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.64
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.43
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.45
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.62
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.15
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-6.99
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.77
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.06
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.97
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-8.31

Trading record

Placed 2 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
UNVR short286Apr 14, 2023Aug 1, 2023($235)
MPC short79Feb 15, 2023Jun 6, 2023$1,440
LSCC short105Apr 3, 2023Jun 6, 2023$1,637
DOW short178Jan 9, 2023May 23, 2023$728
VLO short73Jan 12, 2023May 23, 2023$1,539
ODFL short27Feb 6, 2023Mar 29, 2023$1,123
CAT short40Jan 6, 2023Mar 27, 2023$1,281
PH short29Feb 6, 2023Mar 17, 2023$1,266
NUE short64Jan 13, 2023Mar 17, 2023$685
MCK short26Jan 12, 2023Mar 17, 2023$1,093
CVX short56Jan 17, 2023Mar 17, 2023$1,423
MET short139Jan 9, 2023Mar 17, 2023$2,267
HES short69Jan 9, 2023Mar 13, 2023$1,378
AIG short156Jan 9, 2023Mar 13, 2023$2,192
WBA long252Dec 15, 2022Feb 27, 2023($890)
TSLA long63Dec 15, 2022Jan 26, 2023$66
AZO short4Jan 9, 2023Jan 19, 2023$445
JPM short73Jan 6, 2023Jan 18, 2023$35
PG short65Jan 6, 2023Jan 18, 2023$456
AAPL long75Dec 19, 2022Jan 17, 2023$195
TRV short52Jan 6, 2023Jan 17, 2023$409
AMZN long113Dec 15, 2022Jan 11, 2023$510
INTC long365Dec 15, 2022Jan 6, 2023$362
MMM long81Dec 15, 2022Jan 4, 2023$205
DIS long110Dec 15, 2022Jan 4, 2023$174
ABBV short61Dec 12, 2022Dec 19, 2022$190
PFE short190Dec 12, 2022Dec 19, 2022$302
CSCO short204Dec 12, 2022Dec 15, 2022$194
CAT short42Dec 13, 2022Dec 15, 2022$166
INTC long353Dec 9, 2022Dec 13, 2022$551

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.