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Erviti Europe

Futures · Futures · Started Oct 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
485
Win Trades
49.1%
Profit Factor
0.50
Win Months
44.7%

Short Term Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20229.718.70.931.4
20230.97.7-1.6-1.4-6.95.25.10.0-6.1-5.4-6.87.4-3.6
20244.44.21.1-10.3-8.610.911.77.2-12.07.32.6-0.215.7
2025-0.23.6-13.210.1-9.3-22.85.7-6.3-8.67.3-28.10.00.0
2026-7.2-982.5-0.60.00.00.00.00.0-914.1

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/16/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age48 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades485
# Profitable238
% Profitable49.1%
Avg trade duration13.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodMarch 04, 2026 - March 05, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$1,290
Avg loss$2,538

Ratios

W:L ratio0.49
Sharpe Ratio-0.47
Sortino Ratio-0.47
Calmar Ratio-0.99

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life114.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-773.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity—
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.4%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$2,538
Avg Win$1,290
# Winners238
Sum Trade PL (losers)$626,821
Sum Trade PL (winners)$306,927
Num Months Winners22
# Losers247
% Winners49.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table42

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)815.12
Avg Position Time (hrs)13.59
Avg Trade Length0.60
Last Trade Ago177

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)5
Daily leverage (max)13.96

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.23
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.04
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-1.45
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.55
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.47
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-0.59
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.69

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.18
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.57
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.55
df24
t0.82
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.82
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.92
Sortino ratio1.10
Upside Potential Ratio3.07
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms12
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance0.02
r0.23
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.34
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error23
t(b)1.15
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.40
p(a)0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.96
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)0.54
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean0.13
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.42
df24
t0.63
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.94
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.78
Sortino ratio0.77
Upside Potential Ratio2.71
Upside part of mean0.48
Downside part of mean-0.34
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms12
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance0.02
r0.23
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error23
t(b)1.15
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.25
p(a)0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.52
Treynor index (mean / b)0.40
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.16
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
Mean-0.40
SD0.75
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.53
df560
t-0.78
p0.78
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.87
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.81
Sortino ratio-0.55
Upside Potential Ratio1.96
Upside part of mean1.39
Downside part of mean-1.79
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD0.71
N nonnegative terms221
N negative terms340
N of observations561
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion-0.40
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.75
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.42
Mean Square Error0.56
DF error559
t(b)0.74
p(b)0.23
t(a)-0.84
p(a)0.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.24
Jensen alpha (a)-0.43
Mean-5.10
SD7.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.68
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.68
df560
t-0.99
p0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.66
Sortino ratio-0.68
Upside Potential Ratio0.18
Upside part of mean1.37
Downside part of mean-6.47
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD7.50
N nonnegative terms221
N negative terms340
N of observations561
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion-5.10
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion7.50
Covariance0.01
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-5.19
Mean Square Error56.39
DF error559
t(b)0.23
p(b)0.41
t(a)-1.01
p(a)0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-15.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.92
Treynor index (mean / b)-13.63
Jensen alpha (a)-5.19
VaR(95%)0.54
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.62
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-2.86
SD1.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.93
df130
t-1.38
p0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.85
Sortino ratio-1.97
Upside Potential Ratio0.87
Upside part of mean1.26
Downside part of mean-4.12
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD1.45
N nonnegative terms37
N negative terms94
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion-2.86
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion1.47
Covariance-0.01
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.84
Mean Square Error2.17
DF error129
t(b)-0.22
p(b)0.51
t(a)-1.36
p(a)0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.29
Treynor index (mean / b)27.41
Jensen alpha (a)-2.84
Mean-22.89
SD15.51
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.48
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.47
df130
t-1.04
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.31
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.31
Sortino ratio-1.47
Upside Potential Ratio0.08
Upside part of mean1.23
Downside part of mean-24.12
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD15.52
N nonnegative terms37
N negative terms94
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion-22.89
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion15.51
Covariance0.03
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.37
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-22.95
Mean Square Error242.57
DF error129
t(b)0.07
p(b)0.50
t(a)-1.04
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-9.60
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta10.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-66.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha20.66
Treynor index (mean / b)-62.51
Jensen alpha (a)-22.95
VaR(95%)0.81
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.87
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations25
Minimum0.84
Quartile 10.96
Median1.00
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.29
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.10
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.11
Number of observations561
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low23
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.91
Number of outliers high40
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.42
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.87
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.88
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.38
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.71
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.05
Median0.08
Quartile 30.11
Maximum0.22
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations24
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.06
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.27
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.44
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.54
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.21
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.56
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.23
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2
Minimum0.05
Quartile 10.28
Median0.52
Quartile 30.76
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.05
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.48
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-388852928
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.19
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.18
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.80
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.06
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.11
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.47
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.99
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.99
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-3.71
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.61
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-2.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.15

Trading record

Placed 68 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EX Z5long5Dec 19, 2025Apr 4, 2026($330,175)
EX Z5long5Dec 18, 2025Dec 18, 2025$1,955
EX Z5long5Dec 17, 2025Dec 17, 2025($2,450)
EX Z5long5Dec 16, 2025Dec 16, 2025($804)
EX Z5long5Dec 15, 2025Dec 15, 2025($628)
EX Z5long5Dec 11, 2025Dec 11, 2025$839
EX Z5long5Dec 10, 2025Dec 10, 2025$486
EX Z5long5Dec 8, 2025Dec 8, 2025($273)
EX Z5short5Dec 5, 2025Dec 5, 2025$484
EX Z5long5Dec 1, 2025Dec 1, 2025$948
EX Z5short5Nov 27, 2025Nov 27, 2025($272)
EX Z5long5Nov 26, 2025Nov 26, 2025$2,279
EX Z5short5Nov 24, 2025Nov 24, 2025($1,538)
EX Z5short5Nov 20, 2025Nov 20, 2025($1,250)
EX Z5long5Nov 18, 2025Nov 18, 2025($2,071)
EX Z5short5Nov 17, 2025Nov 17, 2025($793)
EX Z5long5Nov 14, 2025Nov 14, 2025($679)
EX Z5short5Nov 11, 2025Nov 11, 2025($2,418)
EX Z5long5Nov 10, 2025Nov 10, 2025$538
EX Z5short5Nov 6, 2025Nov 6, 2025$1,923
EX Z5short5Nov 5, 2025Nov 5, 2025($2,051)
EX Z5long5Nov 5, 2025Nov 5, 2025($672)
EX Z5long5Nov 4, 2025Nov 4, 2025($1,532)
EX Z5long5Nov 3, 2025Nov 3, 2025($1,594)
EX Z5long5Oct 31, 2025Oct 31, 2025($2,230)
EX Z5long5Oct 28, 2025Oct 29, 2025($912)
EX Z5short5Oct 27, 2025Oct 28, 2025$77
EX Z5long5Oct 23, 2025Oct 23, 2025$134
EX Z5long5Oct 22, 2025Oct 22, 2025($2,829)
EX Z5short5Oct 20, 2025Oct 20, 2025($98)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.