Collective2 Collective2
C2Star Strategy gandalf Followed by live capital $169,000 Hypothetical

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Erviti Europe
(142183340)

Created by: MiguelPastor MiguelPastor
Started: 10/2022
Futures
Last trade: Yesterday
Trading style: Futures Short Term Financials / Indexes

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $100.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Short Term
Category: Equity

Short Term

Makes short-term trades or bases analysis on short-term market movements.
Financials / Indexes
Category: Equity

Financials / Indexes

Focuses on market indexes or interest rates futures.
44.3%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(8.8%)
Max Drawdown
107
Num Trades
55.1%
Win Trades
1.6 : 1
Profit Factor
100.0%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022                                                               +9.7%+18.7%+0.9%+31.4%
2023+0.9%+7.7%+1.2%                                                      +9.9%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 21 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
3/22/23 5:41 EXM3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4138.00 3/22 15:10 4123.00 0.74%
Trade id #143990227
Max drawdown($539)
Time3/22/23 6:08
Quant open5
Worst price4128.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.74%
 ($855)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/20/23 3:04 EXM3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 3944.88 3/20 4:19 3920.00 1.91%
Trade id #143961079
Max drawdown($1,440)
Time3/20/23 4:18
Quant open5
Worst price3918.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.91%
 ($1,364)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/17/23 8:35 EXM3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4022.00 3/17 12:10 4004.00 0.43%
Trade id #143942500
Max drawdown($319)
Time3/17/23 10:03
Quant open5
Worst price4028.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.43%
 $918
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/17/23 4:49 EXM3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4095.00 3/17 6:04 4079.00 1.29%
Trade id #143940705
Max drawdown($956)
Time3/17/23 6:04
Quant open5
Worst price4077.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.29%
 ($891)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/15/23 8:14 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4049.00 3/15 8:40 4034.00 1.27%
Trade id #143908602
Max drawdown($948)
Time3/15/23 8:40
Quant open5
Worst price4031.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.27%
 ($833)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/15/23 3:49 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4168.00 3/15 8:14 4050.00 0.91%
Trade id #143905767
Max drawdown($632)
Time3/15/23 4:17
Quant open5
Worst price4180.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.91%
 $6,197
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/10/23 13:48 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4177.00 3/10 14:56 4198.00 1.84%
Trade id #143849655
Max drawdown($1,276)
Time3/10/23 14:56
Quant open5
Worst price4201.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.84%
 ($1,157)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/10/23 7:13 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4236.00 3/10 13:03 4197.00 3.07%
Trade id #143839820
Max drawdown($2,181)
Time3/10/23 9:48
Quant open5
Worst price4195.00
Drawdown as % of equity-3.07%
 ($2,120)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/8/23 4:18 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4278.00 3/8 15:55 4295.00 0.52%
Trade id #143811020
Max drawdown($369)
Time3/8/23 4:23
Quant open5
Worst price4271.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.52%
 $857
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/7/23 14:51 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4271.00 3/7 15:55 4275.00 0.59%
Trade id #143806063
Max drawdown($421)
Time3/7/23 15:38
Quant open5
Worst price4279.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.59%
 ($251)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/7/23 5:06 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4315.00 3/7 10:02 4292.00 2.11%
Trade id #143795762
Max drawdown($1,527)
Time3/7/23 10:01
Quant open5
Worst price4286.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.11%
 ($1,262)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/3/23 6:56 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4282.00 3/3 12:56 4313.00 2.25%
Trade id #143763651
Max drawdown($1,648)
Time3/3/23 12:55
Quant open5
Worst price4313.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.25%
 ($1,687)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/2/23 2:29 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4204.00 3/2 15:55 4265.00 1.78%
Trade id #143743488
Max drawdown($1,272)
Time3/2/23 3:10
Quant open5
Worst price4180.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.78%
 $3,193
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
3/1/23 5:02 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4260.00 3/1 8:54 4255.00 1.59%
Trade id #143729109
Max drawdown($1,120)
Time3/1/23 6:37
Quant open5
Worst price4281.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.59%
 $227
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/28/23 4:23 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4235.00 2/28 11:35 4241.00 0.07%
Trade id #143716312
Max drawdown($52)
Time2/28/23 4:30
Quant open5
Worst price4234.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
 $278
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/28/23 2:45 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4240.00 2/28 4:23 4235.00 0.52%
Trade id #143715683
Max drawdown($372)
Time2/28/23 4:02
Quant open5
Worst price4247.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.52%
 $225
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/24/23 12:56 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4183.00 2/24 15:55 4198.00 0.08%
Trade id #143690962
Max drawdown($52)
Time2/24/23 13:00
Quant open5
Worst price4182.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
 $751
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/24/23 7:04 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4234.00 2/24 12:56 4183.00 0.63%
Trade id #143685045
Max drawdown($421)
Time2/24/23 7:21
Quant open5
Worst price4242.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.63%
 $2,649
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/23/23 3:00 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4256.00 2/23 3:22 4270.00 1.32%
Trade id #143670963
Max drawdown($900)
Time2/23/23 3:20
Quant open5
Worst price4273.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.32%
 ($783)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/21/23 7:27 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4254.00 2/21 15:55 4248.00 0.93%
Trade id #143644752
Max drawdown($639)
Time2/21/23 14:23
Quant open5
Worst price4242.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.93%
 ($359)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/20/23 4:20 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4277.00 2/20 15:55 4274.00 0.78%
Trade id #143635589
Max drawdown($533)
Time2/20/23 4:40
Quant open5
Worst price4267.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.78%
 ($200)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/20/23 2:22 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4292.00 2/20 4:20 4277.00 0.39%
Trade id #143635003
Max drawdown($267)
Time2/20/23 2:50
Quant open5
Worst price4297.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
 $762
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/17/23 13:21 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4287.00 2/17 15:55 4295.00 0.32%
Trade id #143623588
Max drawdown($213)
Time2/17/23 13:26
Quant open5
Worst price4283.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.32%
 $388
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/15/23 4:02 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4273.00 2/15 7:28 4283.00 0.64%
Trade id #143586610
Max drawdown($427)
Time2/15/23 5:35
Quant open5
Worst price4265.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.64%
 $496
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/14/23 9:12 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4247.00 2/14 15:55 4278.00 2.72%
Trade id #143573740
Max drawdown($1,875)
Time2/14/23 10:11
Quant open5
Worst price4282.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.72%
 ($1,705)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/13/23 5:56 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4226.00 2/13 15:55 4260.00 0.24%
Trade id #143556662
Max drawdown($161)
Time2/13/23 6:08
Quant open5
Worst price4223.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
 $1,783
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/10/23 11:15 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4203.00 2/10 15:55 4218.00 0.56%
Trade id #143541681
Max drawdown($373)
Time2/10/23 12:15
Quant open5
Worst price4196.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.56%
 $761
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/10/23 6:26 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 SHORT 5 4194.00 2/10 11:15 4203.00 1.2%
Trade id #143537729
Max drawdown($800)
Time2/10/23 9:14
Quant open5
Worst price4209.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.20%
 ($521)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/9/23 2:09 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4243.00 2/9 3:16 4256.00 0.33%
Trade id #143519416
Max drawdown($215)
Time2/9/23 2:28
Quant open5
Worst price4239.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.33%
 $658
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
2/7/23 4:29 EXH3 DJ EURO STOXX 50 LONG 5 4216.00 2/7 15:55 4251.00 1.6%
Trade id #143483480
Max drawdown($1,019)
Time2/7/23 9:31
Quant open5
Worst price4197.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.60%
 $1,837
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    10/16/2022
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $70,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    157.82
  • Age
    158 days ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    107
  • # Profitable
    59
  • % Profitable
    55.10%
  • Avg trade duration
    6.8 hours
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    8.79%
  • drawdown period
    Dec 22, 2022 - Jan 17, 2023
  • Cumul. Return
    44.3%
  • Avg win
    $1,172
  • Avg loss
    $878.54
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $77,025
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $77,025
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.64:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    2.55
  • Sortino Ratio
    5.31
  • Calmar Ratio
    27.659
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    34.47%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.32060
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    9.88%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    130.2%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    6.30%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.05%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.443%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    170.0%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    6.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    100.00%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    911
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    968
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    981
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    943
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $879
  • Avg Win
    $1,173
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $42,170.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    6
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $69,197.000
  • # Winners
    59
  • Num Months Winners
    6
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    175226
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    48
  • % Winners
    55.1%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    410.90
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    6.85
  • Avg Trade Length
    0.3 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    0
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    3.14
  • Daily leverage (max)
    3.61
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.21
  • Beta
    0.45
  • Treynor Index
    0.54
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.01
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.50
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    3.292
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.381
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.294
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.304
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    1.05358
  • SD
    0.40666
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.59080
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.06716
  • df
    4.00000
  • t
    1.67236
  • p
    0.08489
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.01835
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    5.97320
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.29013
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.42445
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    37.00730
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    38.55650
  • Upside part of mean
    1.09768
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.04410
  • Upside SD
    0.47328
  • Downside SD
    0.02847
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    5.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.14642
  • Mean of criterion
    1.05358
  • SD of predictor
    0.15879
  • SD of criterion
    0.40666
  • Covariance
    0.05022
  • r
    0.77767
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.99165
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.76196
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08715
  • DF error
    3.00000
  • t(b)
    2.14253
  • p(b)
    0.06078
  • t(a)
    1.59686
  • p(a)
    0.10429
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.96668
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    4.94998
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.75658
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.28049
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.52900
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.76196
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.95551
  • SD
    0.35504
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    2.69125
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    2.14731
  • df
    4.00000
  • t
    1.73720
  • p
    0.07868
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.95337
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.10552
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.23405
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    5.52867
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    33.33140
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    34.88060
  • Upside part of mean
    0.99992
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.04441
  • Upside SD
    0.41965
  • Downside SD
    0.02867
  • N nonnegative terms
    4.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    5.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13543
  • Mean of criterion
    0.95551
  • SD of predictor
    0.15620
  • SD of criterion
    0.35504
  • Covariance
    0.04261
  • r
    0.76832
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.74639
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.71900
  • Mean Square Error
    0.06886
  • DF error
    3.00000
  • t(b)
    2.07912
  • p(b)
    0.06456
  • t(a)
    1.70325
  • p(a)
    0.09354
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.92676
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    4.41953
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.62442
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.06241
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.54713
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.71900
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.08512
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.12285
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00418
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01036
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98395
  • Quartile 1
    1.04567
  • Median
    1.05980
  • Quartile 3
    1.06974
  • Maximum
    1.29147
  • Mean of quarter 1
    1.01481
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.05980
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.06974
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.29147
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02407
  • Number outliers low
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.98395
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.20000
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.29147
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01605
  • Quartile 1
    0.01605
  • Median
    0.01605
  • Quartile 3
    0.01605
  • Maximum
    0.01605
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.21548
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.67357
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    104.28100
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    13.62320
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.96614
  • SD
    0.27654
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    3.49370
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    3.46961
  • df
    109.00000
  • t
    2.26377
  • p
    0.36611
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.42581
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.54604
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.40991
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.52931
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    7.69395
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    15.64080
  • Upside part of mean
    1.96405
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.99791
  • Upside SD
    0.25214
  • Downside SD
    0.12557
  • N nonnegative terms
    55.00000
  • N negative terms
    55.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    110.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.15464
  • Mean of criterion
    0.96614
  • SD of predictor
    0.20358
  • SD of criterion
    0.27654
  • Covariance
    0.01773
  • r
    0.31494
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.42780
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.90000
  • Mean Square Error
    0.06953
  • DF error
    108.00000
  • t(b)
    3.44846
  • p(b)
    0.34253
  • t(a)
    2.20916
  • p(a)
    0.39604
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.18190
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.67370
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.09247
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.70750
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    2.25839
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.89999
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.92734
  • SD
    0.27178
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    3.41203
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    3.38850
  • df
    109.00000
  • t
    2.21085
  • p
    0.36906
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    0.34591
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    6.46289
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    0.33040
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    6.44660
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    7.30894
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    15.23620
  • Upside part of mean
    1.93313
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.00579
  • Upside SD
    0.24572
  • Downside SD
    0.12688
  • N nonnegative terms
    55.00000
  • N negative terms
    55.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    110.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.13419
  • Mean of criterion
    0.92734
  • SD of predictor
    0.20254
  • SD of criterion
    0.27178
  • Covariance
    0.01694
  • r
    0.30771
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.41292
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.87193
  • Mean Square Error
    0.06749
  • DF error
    108.00000
  • t(b)
    3.36094
  • p(b)
    0.34614
  • t(a)
    2.17287
  • p(a)
    0.39767
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.16939
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.65644
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.07652
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.66733
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    2.24581
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.87193
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02379
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03060
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00878
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01714
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    110.00000
  • Minimum
    0.96638
  • Quartile 1
    0.99498
  • Median
    1.00033
  • Quartile 3
    1.01095
  • Maximum
    1.08267
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98661
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99859
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00477
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02506
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01597
  • Number outliers low
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00909
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.96638
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.02727
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.06999
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.31716
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01246
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01514
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.03888
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01447
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01984
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    15.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00097
  • Quartile 1
    0.00846
  • Median
    0.02400
  • Quartile 3
    0.03720
  • Maximum
    0.05782
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00295
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01614
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.02825
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.05117
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02874
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -10.90590
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.05372
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.05372
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -2.43997
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.06436
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.06470
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    1.17519
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    1.59930
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    27.65860
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    31.25550
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    52.26820
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.02400
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -351555000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    26

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2022-10-16
Suggested Minimum Capital
$70,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 1.9%
Rank # 
#16
# Trades
107
# Profitable
59
% Profitable
55.1%
Correlation S&P500
0.321
Sharpe Ratio
2.55
Sortino Ratio
5.31
Beta
0.45
Alpha
0.21
Leverage
3.14 Average
3.61 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.